Real Madrid - Bayern Munich: our prediction
07/04/2026•21:00
Real Madrid
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
Bayern Munich
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Bayern Munich, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Real Madrid. Both teams are in excellent offensive form, with high goal-scoring statistics and a marked tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals.
Our Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Real Madrid recorded over 2.5 goals in 80% of its matches (8/10), while Bayern Munich did the same in 80% of its matches (8/10). Both teams have prolific attacks: Vinicius Junior (7 goals) and Valverde (6) for Real; Harry Kane (10 goals) and Luis Diaz (4) for Bayern. Defenses struggle to keep a clean sheet (only 20% clean sheets for Real, 30% for Bayern).
1.31
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Real Madrid saw both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10), and Bayern Munich also in 70% of cases (7/10). Defenses are vulnerable: Real kept only 2 clean sheets, Bayern 3. With in-form attackers like Kane (10 goals) and Vinicius (7 goals), it is likely that each team will find the back of the net.
1.3
Confidence
High
Bayern Munich scores over 1.5 goals
Bayern Munich has scored over 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). The attack is led by Harry Kane (10 goals), supported by Luis Diaz (4 goals) and Michael Olise (3 goals). Facing a Real Madrid defense that kept only 20% clean sheets, Bayern has every chance to score at least two goals.
1.6
Confidence
High
Market signals on Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 3 | 9 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 90% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 44% (4/9) | 80% (8/10) | Harry Kane |
| Kylian Mbappe | 50% (4/8) | 50% (5/10) | Michael Olise |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Luis Diaz |
| Jude Bellingham | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Nicolas Jackson |
| Brahim Diaz | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Alphonso Davies |
| Arda Guler | 20% (1/5) | 13% (1/8) | Raphael Guerreiro |
| Federico Valverde | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Leon Goretzka |
10% (1/10) | Aleksandar Pavlovic | ||
20% (1/5) | Tom Bischof | ||
11% (1/9) | Dayot Upamecano | ||
10% (1/10) | Jamal Musiala |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽...12 | Harry Kane |
| Kylian Mbappe | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Michael Olise |
| Jude Bellingham | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luis Diaz |
| Gonzalo Garcia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nicolas Jackson |
| Arda Guler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Leon Goretzka |
| Federico Valverde | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aleksandar Pavlovic |
| Brahim Diaz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jamal Musiala |
⚽1 | Tom Bischof | ||
⚽1 | Alphonso Davies | ||
⚽1 | Raphael Guerreiro | ||
⚽1 | Dayot Upamecano |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 70% |
1.5 | 70% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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