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Bayern Munich - Real Madrid: our prediction

15/04/2026•21:00

Bayern Munich

4:3

(2:3)

Finished

Real Madrid

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Bayern Munich, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.53), faces Real Madrid in the Champions League. Bayern shows solid form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, while Real Madrid is less consistent (6W, 1D, 3L). Statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid predictions

Both Teams to Score

The statistics are very strong: both teams have scored in 80% of their recent matches (8/10). The defenses are not watertight (only 2 clean sheets for Bayern, 1 for Real in 10 matches). With quality attacks on both sides (Kane, Musiala for Bayern; Vinicius, Valverde for Real), it is very likely that both nets will ripple.

1.29

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 Goals

The 'over 2.5' indicator is validated at 90% for Bayern and 80% for Real Madrid in their last 10 matches. Bayern scores regularly (at least 1 goal per match in 100% of cases, 1.5+ goals in 90% of cases). Real Madrid, although less prolific, often participates in matches with over 2 goals. The combination of a strong Bayern attack and the likelihood of both teams scoring makes this bet solid.

1.18

Confidence

High

Bayern Munich Win

Bayern Munich is in excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches and has suffered no defeats. At home, with a 90% success rate as favorite, and against a less consistent Real Madrid away (2 losses in 10), a Bayern win is the most likely scenario.

1.54

Confidence

High

Market signals on Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Bayern Munich	Real Madrid
Win	9 1	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	90%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	67%
Win by being an outsider	0%	67%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	80% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	70% 30%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	0%	50%
2nd half	80%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	80% 20%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	70% 30%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	80% 20%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Harry Kane	80% (8/10)	50% (4/8)	Kylian Mbappe
Michael Olise	50% (5/10)	44% (4/9)	Vinicius Junior
Luis Diaz	30% (3/10)	20% (2/10)	Gonzalo Garcia
Nicolas Jackson	30% (3/10)	20% (2/10)	Jude Bellingham
Dayot Upamecano	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Federico Valverde
Tom Bischof	20% (1/5)	10% (1/10)	Brahim Diaz
Jamal Musiala	10% (1/10)	20% (1/5)	Arda Guler
Alphonso Davies	14% (1/7)
Leon Goretzka	10% (1/10)
Aleksandar Pavlovic	10% (1/10)
Raphael Guerreiro	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Harry Kane	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽...12	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Vinicius Junior
Michael Olise	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kylian Mbappe
Nicolas Jackson	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Arda Guler
Luis Diaz	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Jude Bellingham
Leon Goretzka	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Gonzalo Garcia
Raphael Guerreiro	⚽1	⚽1	Federico Valverde
Dayot Upamecano	⚽1	⚽1	Brahim Diaz
Aleksandar Pavlovic	⚽1
Jamal Musiala	⚽1
Tom Bischof	⚽1
Alphonso Davies	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	40%	70%
Over corners 10.5	30%	60%
Over corners 11.5	30%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	90%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	70%	50%
Over corners 6.5	60%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	90%
1.5	50%	60%
2.5	40%	10%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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