Bayern Munich - Real Madrid: our prediction
15/04/2026•21:00
Bayern Munich
4:3
(2:3)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Bayern Munich, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.53), faces Real Madrid in the Champions League. Bayern shows solid form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, while Real Madrid is less consistent (6W, 1D, 3L). Statistics suggest an open match with goals.
Our Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid predictions
Both Teams to Score
The statistics are very strong: both teams have scored in 80% of their recent matches (8/10). The defenses are not watertight (only 2 clean sheets for Bayern, 1 for Real in 10 matches). With quality attacks on both sides (Kane, Musiala for Bayern; Vinicius, Valverde for Real), it is very likely that both nets will ripple.
1.29
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 Goals
The 'over 2.5' indicator is validated at 90% for Bayern and 80% for Real Madrid in their last 10 matches. Bayern scores regularly (at least 1 goal per match in 100% of cases, 1.5+ goals in 90% of cases). Real Madrid, although less prolific, often participates in matches with over 2 goals. The combination of a strong Bayern attack and the likelihood of both teams scoring makes this bet solid.
1.18
Confidence
High
Bayern Munich Win
Bayern Munich is in excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches and has suffered no defeats. At home, with a 90% success rate as favorite, and against a less consistent Real Madrid away (2 losses in 10), a Bayern win is the most likely scenario.
1.54
Confidence
High
Market signals on Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 80% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 50% |
2nd half | 80% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 80% 20% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 80% (8/10) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Michael Olise | 50% (5/10) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Luis Diaz | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Nicolas Jackson | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Dayot Upamecano | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
| Tom Bischof | 20% (1/5) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
| Jamal Musiala | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
| Alphonso Davies | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Leon Goretzka | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Raphael Guerreiro | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽...12 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Michael Olise | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Nicolas Jackson | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Luis Diaz | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Leon Goretzka | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Raphael Guerreiro | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
| Dayot Upamecano | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | ⚽1 | ||
| Jamal Musiala | ⚽1 | ||
| Tom Bischof | ⚽1 | ||
| Alphonso Davies | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers