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Barcelona - Atletico Madrid: our prediction

08/04/2026•21:00

Barcelona

0:2

(0:1)

Finished

Atletico Madrid

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Barcelona hosts Atlético Madrid in the Champions League final. The Blaugranas are favorites with excellent recent form (8 wins/10), while the Colchoneros have a more mixed away record. Statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid predictions

Over 2.5 Goals in the Match

The 'Over 2.5' indicator succeeded in 70% of Barcelona's recent matches and 80% of Atlético's. Both teams have prolific attacks and offensive tendencies. The Champions League final, often nervous, could see offensive commitment from both sides, especially if Barcelona scores early. The likely scenario of a Barça win with goals from both sides supports this bet.

1.33

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

Statistics from the last 10 matches show Barcelona scored in 100% of cases (over 0.5 per team) and Atlético in 90%. Furthermore, 'Both Teams to Score' occurred in 60% of Barça's matches and 70% of Atlético's. Both attacks are performing (Yamal 6 goals, Sørloth 6 goals), and defenses are not impenetrable (clean sheet only 40% for Barça, 20% for Atlético).

1.44

Confidence

High

Barcelona Win

Barcelona displays solid form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). The team plays at home and is designated favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.53). Atlético has a less convincing away record. Barcelona's attack (Lamine Yamal, Lewandowski) should make the difference.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Barcelona	Atletico Madrid
Win	8 1 1	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	80%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	80%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	40%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ferran Torres	44% (4/9)	38% (3/8)	Ademola Lookman
Lamine Yamal	75% (3/4)	50% (2/4)	Julian Alvarez
Marcus Rashford	30% (3/10)	50% (2/4)	Nico Gonzalez
Robert Lewandowski	20% (2/10)	25% (2/8)	Alexander Soerloth
Raphinha	33% (1/3)	10% (1/10)	Marc Pubill
Fermin Lopez	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Thiago Almada
Joao Cancelo	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Miguel Llorente
		17% (1/6)	Iker Luque
		11% (1/9)	Alejandro Baena
		10% (1/10)	Antoine Griezmann

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ferran Torres	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Alexander Soerloth
Lamine Yamal	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Nico Gonzalez
Marcus Rashford	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Ademola Lookman
Robert Lewandowski	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Julian Alvarez
Raphinha	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alejandro Baena
Fermin Lopez	⚽1	⚽1	Antoine Griezmann
Joao Cancelo	⚽1	⚽1	Iker Luque
		⚽1	Marc Pubill
		⚽1	Thiago Almada
		⚽1	Miguel Llorente

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	40%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	40%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	50%
Over corners 4.5	60%	40%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	80%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	40%	40%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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