Barcelona - Atletico Madrid: our prediction
08/04/2026•21:00
Barcelona
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
Atletico Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Barcelona hosts Atlético Madrid in the Champions League final. The Blaugranas are favorites with excellent recent form (8 wins/10), while the Colchoneros have a more mixed away record. Statistics suggest an open match with goals.
Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid predictions
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
The 'Over 2.5' indicator succeeded in 70% of Barcelona's recent matches and 80% of Atlético's. Both teams have prolific attacks and offensive tendencies. The Champions League final, often nervous, could see offensive commitment from both sides, especially if Barcelona scores early. The likely scenario of a Barça win with goals from both sides supports this bet.
1.33
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Statistics from the last 10 matches show Barcelona scored in 100% of cases (over 0.5 per team) and Atlético in 90%. Furthermore, 'Both Teams to Score' occurred in 60% of Barça's matches and 70% of Atlético's. Both attacks are performing (Yamal 6 goals, Sørloth 6 goals), and defenses are not impenetrable (clean sheet only 40% for Barça, 20% for Atlético).
1.44
Confidence
High
Barcelona Win
Barcelona displays solid form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). The team plays at home and is designated favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.53). Atlético has a less convincing away record. Barcelona's attack (Lamine Yamal, Lewandowski) should make the difference.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 80% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | 44% (4/9) | 38% (3/8) | Ademola Lookman |
| Lamine Yamal | 75% (3/4) | 50% (2/4) | Julian Alvarez |
| Marcus Rashford | 30% (3/10) | 50% (2/4) | Nico Gonzalez |
| Robert Lewandowski | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Alexander Soerloth |
| Raphinha | 33% (1/3) | 10% (1/10) | Marc Pubill |
| Fermin Lopez | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Thiago Almada |
| Joao Cancelo | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Miguel Llorente |
17% (1/6) | Iker Luque | ||
11% (1/9) | Alejandro Baena | ||
10% (1/10) | Antoine Griezmann |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alexander Soerloth |
| Lamine Yamal | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nico Gonzalez |
| Marcus Rashford | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ademola Lookman |
| Robert Lewandowski | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Julian Alvarez |
| Raphinha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Baena |
| Fermin Lopez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Antoine Griezmann |
| Joao Cancelo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Iker Luque |
⚽1 | Marc Pubill | ||
⚽1 | Thiago Almada | ||
⚽1 | Miguel Llorente |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers