Atletico Madrid - Arsenal: our prediction
29/04/2026•21:00
Atletico Madrid
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
Arsenal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Arsenal travel to Atletico Madrid for a Champions League clash. The Gunners are favorites with odds of 2.55, while the Colchoneros are at 2.9. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 10 matches, compared to 3 for Atletico. Both teams score in 80% of Atletico's matches, but only 40% for Arsenal. The match promises to be tight.
Our Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal predictions
Over 1.5 goals (Atletico Madrid)
Atletico Madrid have scored over 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches (parou15 indicator at 80%). With forwards like Julian Alvarez and Ademola Lookman in form, the home side should find the net at least twice.
1.36
Confidence
Very high (80%)
Under 2.5 goals (Arsenal)
Arsenal have seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (under25 indicator at 70%). The Gunners' defense is solid, and they struggle to score more than one goal away from home.
1.66
Confidence
High (70%)
Both teams to score
Both teams score in 80% of Atletico Madrid's home matches (bts indicator at 80%). Arsenal also have a good attack with Havertz and Gyökeres. Although Arsenal's defense is solid, Atletico should score at home.
1.85
Confidence
High (65%)
Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 44% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 40% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 38% (3/8) | 30% (3/10) | Viktor Gyoekeres |
| Nico Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 25% (2/8) | Kai Havertz |
| Julian Alvarez | 50% (2/4) | 22% (2/9) | Bukayo Saka |
| Alexander Soerloth | 25% (2/8) | 11% (1/9) | Leandro Trossard |
| Marc Pubill | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Gabriel Jesus |
| Iker Luque | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Noni Madueke |
| Thiago Almada | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Eberechi Eze |
| Miguel Llorente | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Alejandro Baena | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Viktor Gyoekeres |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Kai Havertz |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Bukayo Saka |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Eberechi Eze |
| Alejandro Baena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leandro Trossard |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gabriel Jesus |
| Iker Luque | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Noni Madueke |
| Marc Pubill | ⚽1 | ||
| Thiago Almada | ⚽1 | ||
| Miguel Llorente | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 80% | 40% |
2.5 | 60% | 20% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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