Rugby

Tennis

Freiburg - Genk: our prediction

19/03/2026•18:45

Freiburg

5:1

(2:1)

Finished

Genk

Freiburg vs Genk Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Freiburg, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.56), hosts Genk in the Europa League. Over their last 10 matches, Freiburg shows mixed form (2W, 2D, 6L) while Genk is more performant (7W, 0D, 3L). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.

Our Freiburg vs Genk predictions

Genk scores at least 1 goal

Genk displays a very efficient attack: they have scored at least one goal in 90% of their last 10 matches (9/10). Their forwards El Ouahdi (scored in 40% of matches) and Heymans (30%) are in form. Facing a Freiburg defense that kept a clean sheet in only 20% of its recent matches (2/10) and conceded at least one goal in 80% of cases (8/10), it is very likely that Genk will find the back of the net.

1.58

Confidence

Very high

Freiburg scores under 1.5 goals

Freiburg's attack is struggling: over the last 10 matches, they have scored over 1.5 goals (i.e., 2 goals or more) in only 20% of cases (2/10). Their top scorer in this period (Ginter) only scored in 30% of matches. Facing a Genk defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of its recent matches (4/10), it is likely that Freiburg will struggle to score more than one goal.

1.25

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Over the last 10 matches, Freiburg has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of its encounters (7/10). Genk, although more offensive, also shows a 30% rate (3/10) for this bet. Freiburg's defensive home form and the status of a European cup match suggest a cautious game. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.

Confidence

High

Market signals on Freiburg vs Genk

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Freiburg vs Genk Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Freiburg	Genk
Win	2 2 6	7 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	83%
Win by being a favorite	40%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	20%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	67%
Win by being an outsider	0%	67%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	20% 80%	50% 20%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	50%
2nd half	60%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Aaron Bibout
Johan Manzambi	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Junya Ito
Maximilian Eggestein	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Zakaria El Ouahdi
Philipp Lienhart	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Ayumu Yokoyama
Jan-Niklas Beste	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Robin Mirisola
Vincenzo Grifo	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Daan Heymans
Matthias Ginter	11% (1/9)
Lukas Kuebler	10% (1/10)
Derry Scherhant	10% (1/10)
Yuito Suzuki	20% (1/5)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Aaron Bibout
Maximilian Eggestein	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Daan Heymans
Johan Manzambi	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Junya Ito
Lukas Kuebler	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Zakaria El Ouahdi
Yuito Suzuki	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ayumu Yokoyama
Matthias Ginter	⚽1	⚽1	Robin Mirisola
Vincenzo Grifo	⚽1
Philipp Lienhart	⚽1
Derry Scherhant	⚽1
Jan-Niklas Beste	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	60%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	60%
Over corners 11.5	30%	60%
Over corners 12.5	0%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	60%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	30%	60%
2.5	10%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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