Freiburg - Genk: our prediction
19/03/2026•18:45
Freiburg
5:1
(2:1)
Finished
Genk
-
1
-
X
-
2
Freiburg vs Genk Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Freiburg, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.56), hosts Genk in the Europa League. Over their last 10 matches, Freiburg shows mixed form (2W, 2D, 6L) while Genk is more performant (7W, 0D, 3L). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Freiburg vs Genk predictions
Genk scores at least 1 goal
Genk displays a very efficient attack: they have scored at least one goal in 90% of their last 10 matches (9/10). Their forwards El Ouahdi (scored in 40% of matches) and Heymans (30%) are in form. Facing a Freiburg defense that kept a clean sheet in only 20% of its recent matches (2/10) and conceded at least one goal in 80% of cases (8/10), it is very likely that Genk will find the back of the net.
1.58
Confidence
Very high
Freiburg scores under 1.5 goals
Freiburg's attack is struggling: over the last 10 matches, they have scored over 1.5 goals (i.e., 2 goals or more) in only 20% of cases (2/10). Their top scorer in this period (Ginter) only scored in 30% of matches. Facing a Genk defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of its recent matches (4/10), it is likely that Freiburg will struggle to score more than one goal.
1.25
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, Freiburg has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of its encounters (7/10). Genk, although more offensive, also shows a 30% rate (3/10) for this bet. Freiburg's defensive home form and the status of a European cup match suggest a cautious game. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
2
Confidence
High
Market signals on Freiburg vs Genk
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Freiburg vs Genk Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 83% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 20% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 50% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Aaron Bibout |
| Johan Manzambi | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Junya Ito |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Zakaria El Ouahdi |
| Philipp Lienhart | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ayumu Yokoyama |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Robin Mirisola |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Daan Heymans |
| Matthias Ginter | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Lukas Kuebler | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Derry Scherhant | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Yuito Suzuki | 20% (1/5) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Aaron Bibout |
| Maximilian Eggestein | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Daan Heymans |
| Johan Manzambi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Junya Ito |
| Lukas Kuebler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Zakaria El Ouahdi |
| Yuito Suzuki | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ayumu Yokoyama |
| Matthias Ginter | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Robin Mirisola |
| Vincenzo Grifo | ⚽1 | ||
| Philipp Lienhart | ⚽1 | ||
| Derry Scherhant | ⚽1 | ||
| Jan-Niklas Beste | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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