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Freiburg - Celta Vigo: our prediction

09/04/2026•21:00

Freiburg

3:0

(2:0)

Finished

Celta Vigo

Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Freiburg hosts Celta Vigo in the Europa League. Freiburg is the favorite with odds of 2.30, but their recent form is mixed (3 wins in 10 matches). Celta Vigo, in better form (6 wins in 10 matches), is more effective away. Statistics show a strong trend of goals from both sides.

Our Freiburg vs Celta Vigo predictions

Celta Vigo scores at least 1 goal

Celta Vigo has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches (10/10 for Over 0.5 goals per team). Their attack is in form with scorers like Ferran Jutglà (5 goals), Iago Aspas (3 goals), and Williot Swedberg (3 goals). Against a Freiburg defense that has kept only one clean sheet in 10 matches, it is very likely that Celta Vigo will find the back of the net.

1.45

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals

Statistics show that Freiburg had over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Celta Vigo in 50% of their matches. Both teams have productive attacks (Freiburg: 9 matches with Over 1.5 goals, Celta Vigo: 9 matches with Over 1.5 goals) and unreliable defenses. The historical trend of Europa League matches also favors games with multiple goals. A score like 1-2 or 2-1 is plausible.

2.15

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Freiburg has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (Over 0.5 goals) and Celta Vigo has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches. Freiburg's defense is weak (1 clean sheet in 10 matches) and Celta Vigo's is not solid (3 clean sheets in 10 matches). The 'Both teams score' statistics are 50% for Freiburg and 70% for Celta Vigo over the last 10 matches. With in-form attacks, both teams are likely to score.

1.88

Confidence

High

Market signals on Freiburg vs Celta Vigo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Freiburg	Celta Vigo
Win	3 2 5	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	33%
Win by being a favorite	40%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	40%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	60%
Win by being an outsider	20%	60%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	60%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Borja Iglesias
Maximilian Eggestein	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Williot Swedberg
Johan Manzambi	22% (2/9)	13% (1/8)	Hugo Alvarez
Jan-Niklas Beste	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ferran Jutgla
Philipp Lienhart	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Iago Aspas
Matthias Ginter	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Ilaix Moriba
Lukas Kuebler	10% (1/10)
Vincenzo Grifo	10% (1/10)
Derry Scherhant	10% (1/10)
Yuito Suzuki	20% (1/5)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Borja Iglesias
Lukas Kuebler	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Williot Swedberg
Yuito Suzuki	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ferran Jutgla
Maximilian Eggestein	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Hugo Alvarez
Johan Manzambi	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ilaix Moriba
Vincenzo Grifo	⚽1	⚽1	Iago Aspas
Philipp Lienhart	⚽1
Derry Scherhant	⚽1
Jan-Niklas Beste	⚽1
Matthias Ginter	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	30%
Over corners 8.5	50%	20%
Over corners 9.5	50%	10%
Over corners 10.5	50%	10%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	70%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	70%	40%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	40%	70%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	20%	20%
4.5	10%	20%
5.5	0%	0%

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