Freiburg - Celta Vigo: our prediction
09/04/2026•21:00
Freiburg
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Celta Vigo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Freiburg hosts Celta Vigo in the Europa League. Freiburg is the favorite with odds of 2.30, but their recent form is mixed (3 wins in 10 matches). Celta Vigo, in better form (6 wins in 10 matches), is more effective away. Statistics show a strong trend of goals from both sides.
Our Freiburg vs Celta Vigo predictions
Celta Vigo scores at least 1 goal
Celta Vigo has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches (10/10 for Over 0.5 goals per team). Their attack is in form with scorers like Ferran Jutglà (5 goals), Iago Aspas (3 goals), and Williot Swedberg (3 goals). Against a Freiburg defense that has kept only one clean sheet in 10 matches, it is very likely that Celta Vigo will find the back of the net.
1.45
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals
Statistics show that Freiburg had over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Celta Vigo in 50% of their matches. Both teams have productive attacks (Freiburg: 9 matches with Over 1.5 goals, Celta Vigo: 9 matches with Over 1.5 goals) and unreliable defenses. The historical trend of Europa League matches also favors games with multiple goals. A score like 1-2 or 2-1 is plausible.
2.15
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Freiburg has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (Over 0.5 goals) and Celta Vigo has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches. Freiburg's defense is weak (1 clean sheet in 10 matches) and Celta Vigo's is not solid (3 clean sheets in 10 matches). The 'Both teams score' statistics are 50% for Freiburg and 70% for Celta Vigo over the last 10 matches. With in-form attacks, both teams are likely to score.
1.88
Confidence
High
Market signals on Freiburg vs Celta Vigo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Borja Iglesias |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Williot Swedberg |
| Johan Manzambi | 22% (2/9) | 13% (1/8) | Hugo Alvarez |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ferran Jutgla |
| Philipp Lienhart | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Iago Aspas |
| Matthias Ginter | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Ilaix Moriba |
| Lukas Kuebler | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Vincenzo Grifo | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Derry Scherhant | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Yuito Suzuki | 20% (1/5) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Borja Iglesias |
| Lukas Kuebler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Williot Swedberg |
| Yuito Suzuki | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ferran Jutgla |
| Maximilian Eggestein | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Hugo Alvarez |
| Johan Manzambi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ilaix Moriba |
| Vincenzo Grifo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Iago Aspas |
| Philipp Lienhart | ⚽1 | ||
| Derry Scherhant | ⚽1 | ||
| Jan-Niklas Beste | ⚽1 | ||
| Matthias Ginter | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 40% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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