Aston Villa - Bologna: our prediction
16/04/2026•21:00
Aston Villa
4:0
(3:0)
Finished
Bologna
-
1
-
X
-
2
Aston Villa vs Bologna Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Aston Villa, the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.6), hosts Bologna in the Europa League. In their last 10 matches, Aston Villa has won 4 times, drawn 2, and lost 4. Bologna, on the other hand, has won 5 out of 10. Statistics show that both teams often score (60% for Aston Villa, 50% for Bologna) and that matches with over 2.5 goals are less frequent (40% for each team). No information on major injuries is available.
Our Aston Villa vs Bologna predictions
Aston Villa Win
Aston Villa is clearly favored at home with odds of 1.6. In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times, but more importantly, when they are favorites (7 matches), they do not lose in 5 cases (71% success rate). Bologna away has a more irregular form (5 wins, 3 losses in 10). Aston Villa's attack, with Watkins (4 goals), can make the difference. Bologna's defense is not impregnable (4 clean sheets in 10). The home advantage and offensive quality should secure a narrow victory.
1.53
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Historical statistics show a strong trend for 'Both Teams to Score'. Aston Villa saw both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%), and Bologna in 5 out of 10 (50%). The defenses are not perfect: Aston Villa kept a clean sheet only 3 times in 10, Bologna 4 times. The attacks are active: Aston Villa scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (over 1.5 goals), Bologna in 7 out of 10. With scorers like Watkins (4 goals) for Villa and Rowe (4 goals) for Bologna, it is likely that each team will find the back of the net.
1.79
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Although both teams tend to score, matches with over 2.5 goals are not the majority. Aston Villa recorded over 2.5 goals in only 4 of its last 10 matches (40%), and Bologna also in 4 out of 10 (40%). Conversely, under 2.5 goals occurred 6 times for each team (60%). The 'per team' statistics confirm this offensive caution: Aston Villa scores more than 1.5 goals per match only 3 times in 10, Bologna also 3 times. This Europa League match, potentially tactical, could see a limited number of goals, with a narrow Aston Villa win (e.g., 2-1 or 1-0).
2.09
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Aston Villa vs Bologna
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aston Villa vs Bologna Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 75% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 60% (6/10) | 33% (3/9) | Riccardo Orsolini |
| Emiliano Buendia | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Jonathan Rowe |
| Morgan Rogers | 44% (4/9) | 22% (2/9) | Federico Bernardeschi |
| John McGinn | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Tommaso Pobega |
| Ezri Konsa | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Joao Mario |
| Tammy Abraham | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Remo Freuler |
| Ross Barkley | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Youri Tielemans | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Riccardo Orsolini |
| Emiliano Buendia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jonathan Rowe |
| Morgan Rogers | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Federico Bernardeschi |
| John McGinn | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Joao Mario |
| Ross Barkley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Remo Freuler |
| Ezri Konsa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tommaso Pobega |
| Youri Tielemans | ⚽1 | ||
| Tammy Abraham | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 80% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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