Shakhtar Donetsk - Lech Poznan: our prediction
19/03/2026•21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:2
(0:2)
Finished
Lech Poznan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Shakhtar Donetsk, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.02), hosts Lech Poznan in the Conference League. In their last 10 matches, the Ukrainians show solid form (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and a very tight defense (8 clean sheets). Lech Poznan, on the other hand, is less consistent away but remains dangerous. The match could be controlled by the home team.
Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Shakhtar is in excellent form with 7 wins in the last 10 matches, undefeated. At home, they are particularly solid (70% success rate as favorite). Lech Poznan struggles away (only 1 win in 3 matches as an outsider). Shakhtar's defense (8 clean sheets/10) should contain the Polish attack.
2.15
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches support this scenario: Shakhtar had under 2.5 goals in 6/10 matches, Lech Poznan in 5/10. Shakhtar's defense is very solid (only 2 matches with BTS out of 10). Lech Poznan scores regularly but often struggles away. A Shakhtar-controlled match with few goals is likely.
2
Confidence
High
Market signals on Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 3 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 70% | 86% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 80% |
2nd half | 70% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassina Traore | 33% (3/9) | 50% (5/10) | Luis Palma |
| Prosper Obah | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Mikael Ishak |
| Lucas Ferreira | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Leo Bengtsson |
| Artem Bondarenko | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Patrik Waalemark |
| Dmytro Kryskiv | 14% (1/7) | 29% (2/7) | Ali Gholizadeh |
| Valeriy Bondar | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Antoni Kozubal |
| Eguinaldo | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Daniel Haakans |
| Alaa Ghram | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Taofeek Ismaheel |
| Luca Meirelles | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Michal Gurgul |
| Oleg Ocheretko | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Maryan Shved | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Isaque | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Newerton | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassina Traore | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Luis Palma |
| Prosper Obah | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Mikael Ishak |
| Isaque | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Leo Bengtsson |
| Artem Bondarenko | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ali Gholizadeh |
| Lucas Ferreira | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Patrik Waalemark |
| Valeriy Bondar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Antoni Kozubal |
| Oleg Ocheretko | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Taofeek Ismaheel |
| Alaa Ghram | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Michal Gurgul |
| Dmytro Kryskiv | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Haakans |
| Luca Meirelles | ⚽1 | ||
| Newerton | ⚽1 | ||
| Eguinaldo | ⚽1 | ||
| Maryan Shved | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 80% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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