Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor: our prediction
19/03/2026•21:00
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Samsunspor
-
1
-
X
-
2
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Rayo Vallecano hosts Samsunspor in the Conference League. Bookmakers clearly favor the Spanish home team (odds at 1.61). Recent statistics show a solid Rayo Vallecano at home (3W, 4D, 3L in last 10) against a struggling Samsunspor away (0W, 0D, 0L in last 10 away games). The 'Both teams to score' bet occurred 7 times in 10 for Rayo, suggesting an open match.
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor predictions
Rayo Vallecano Win
Rayo Vallecano is clearly favored by bookmakers (odds 1.61). In their last 10 home games, they have won 30% of the time (3/10) and lost only 30% of the time. Samsunspor, on the other hand, shows away difficulties with 0 wins in their last 10 away games. Rayo's home form, combined with Samsunspor's away weakness, supports this scenario.
1.54
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
The 'Both teams to score' indicator is positive for Rayo Vallecano (7 times in last 10 matches). Their home defense has kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10. Samsunspor, despite away difficulties, has scored in 70% of recent away matches (parou05 at 7/10). Key attackers like Jorge de Frutos (4 goals) for Rayo and Marius Mouandilmadji (7 goals) for Samsunspor can find the back of the net.
2.07
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet occurred 6 times in 10 for both teams in their recent matches. Rayo Vallecano has a productive home attack (parou05 at 9/10) but a defense that concedes (clean sheet only 2/10). Samsunspor, struggling away, often participates in matches with goals (over25 at 6/10). The combination of a confident Rayo attack and a vulnerable Samsunspor defense (clean sheet at 5/10 but against varied opponents) can produce over 2 goals.
2.02
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 40% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | 50% (5/10) | 40% (4/10) | Marius Mouandilmadji |
| Alexandre Zurawski | 50% (5/10) | 38% (3/8) | Cherif Ndiaye |
| Florian Lejeune | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Tanguy Coulibaly |
| Randy Nteka | 33% (2/6) | 22% (2/9) | Elayis Tavsan |
22% (2/9) | Carlo Holse | ||
14% (1/7) | Olivier Ntcham | ||
13% (1/8) | Logi Tomasson | ||
17% (1/6) | Afonso Sousa |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Marius Mouandilmadji |
| Alexandre Zurawski | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Cherif Ndiaye |
| Florian Lejeune | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Carlo Holse |
| Randy Nteka | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Tanguy Coulibaly |
⚽⚽2 | Elayis Tavsan | ||
⚽1 | Logi Tomasson | ||
⚽1 | Afonso Sousa | ||
⚽1 | Olivier Ntcham |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 10% |
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