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Rakow Czestochowa - Fiorentina: our prediction

19/03/2026•18:45

Rakow Czestochowa

1:2

(0:0)

Finished

Fiorentina

Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Preview — Conference League Final Stage

Rakow Czestochowa hosts Fiorentina in the Conference League. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to the Polish home team (odds 2.50), despite recent mixed form (2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses in the last 10). Fiorentina, the away favorite (odds 2.60), shows a more solid record (5 wins out of 10). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a moderate goal trend.

Our Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina predictions

Rakow Czestochowa scores under 1.5 goals

The statistics are very clear: Rakow has scored under 1.5 goals (i.e., 0 or 1 goal) in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10 'underparou15'). Its attack is not very prolific, with only 2 matches out of 10 where it scored more than one goal. Facing Fiorentina's defense (3 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that Rakow will not score more than one goal. This proposition is consistent with the 'Under 2.5' total goals bet.

1.3

Confidence

Very high

Fiorentina scores over 0.5 goals

Fiorentina has scored at least one goal in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10 'parou05'). Its attack, with scorers like Kean (3 goals) and Solomon (2 goals), is reliable. Facing a Rakow defense that has conceded at least one goal in 60% of its recent matches (6/10 'cleansheetno'), the probability of Fiorentina finding the net is high. No major offensive absences have been reported.

1.3

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Rakow has seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10). Fiorentina, although more offensive, also recorded under 2.5 goals in 20% of its recent matches. Rakow's home defense (4 clean sheets in 10) and the high-stakes nature of the competition's final stage could favor a cautious match. No information on major absences was found to significantly influence either team's attack.

1.74

Confidence

High

Market signals on Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Rakow Czestochowa	Fiorentina
Win	2 4 4	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	40%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	67%
Win by being a favorite	33%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	50%
Win by being an outsider	0%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	30%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jonatan Braut Brunes	50% (5/10)	20% (2/10)	Cher Ndour
Marko Bulat	30% (3/10)	11% (1/9)	Rolando Mandragora
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga	33% (2/6)	11% (1/9)	Robin Gosens
Jean Carlos	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Jack Harrison
Leonardo Rocha	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Nicolo Fagioli
Stratos Svarnas	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Albert Gudmundsson
Tomasz Pienko	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Roberto Piccoli
Patryk Makuch	10% (1/10)
Oskar Repka	10% (1/10)
Bogdan Racovitan	10% (1/10)
Karol Struski	33% (1/3)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jonatan Braut Brunes	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽2	Cher Ndour
Marko Bulat	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Nicolo Fagioli
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Jack Harrison
Patryk Makuch	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Roberto Piccoli
Bogdan Racovitan	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Robin Gosens
Jean Carlos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Rolando Mandragora
Leonardo Rocha	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Albert Gudmundsson
Karol Struski	⚽1
Tomasz Pienko	⚽1
Oskar Repka	⚽1
Stratos Svarnas	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	60%
Over corners 8.5	50%	40%
Over corners 9.5	50%	30%
Over corners 10.5	20%	20%
Over corners 11.5	0%	10%
Over corners 12.5	0%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	80%
Over corners 4.5	40%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	50%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	90%
1.5	30%	80%
2.5	30%	60%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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