Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar: our prediction
09/04/2026•21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:0
(0:0)
Finished
AZ Alkmaar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Shakhtar Donetsk, the home favorite, faces AZ Alkmaar in the Conference League. Shakhtar shows solid form (8 wins/10 last matches) and a strong defense (80% clean sheets). AZ Alkmaar, less effective away, has a productive attack but a leakier defense. The match could be tight, with a slight edge for the home side.
Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar predictions
AZ Alkmaar scores at least 1 goal
AZ Alkmaar has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches (80% success rate Over 0.5 goals per team). Their attack is effective with multiple scorers (Sven Mijnans 5 goals, Troy Parrott 5 goals). Shakhtar has a solid defense (80% clean sheets) but conceded in 2/10 last matches. AZ's strong offensive trend suggests they will most likely find the back of the net.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
AZ Alkmaar has a high Over 2.5 rate (80% in last 10 matches). Shakhtar has 50%. Both teams rarely score together (BTS: 20% for Shakhtar, 40% for AZ), but total goal statistics are high. AZ Alkmaar scored at least 1 goal in 8/10 last matches. AZ's attack productive (Sven Mijnans 5 goals/10 matches). Shakhtar's defense solid but could concede against a dynamic attack.
1.9
Confidence
High
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
Shakhtar is in excellent form with 8 wins in the last 10 matches (80% success rate) and an 80% clean sheet rate. At home, they are solid. AZ Alkmaar has decent form (7W/10) but only 1 away win in the last 10 matches. The odds (2.5 for Shakhtar) reflect slight favoritism. No information on major injuries found.
2.01
Confidence
High
Market signals on Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 80% | 86% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 30% |
2nd half | 80% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassina Traore | 33% (3/9) | 40% (4/10) | Sven Mijnans |
| Prosper Obah | 20% (2/10) | 33% (3/9) | Troy Parrott |
| Lucas Ferreira | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Mexx Meerdink |
| Artem Bondarenko | 20% (2/10) | 40% (2/5) | Peer Koopmeiners |
| Dmytro Kryskiv | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Kees Smit |
| Valeriy Bondar | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Jordy Clasie |
| Eguinaldo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Mateo Chavez |
| Alaa Ghram | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Isak Steiner Jensen |
| Luca Meirelles | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Mees de Wit |
| Oleg Ocheretko | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Matej Sin |
| Maryan Shved | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Isaque | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Newerton | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassina Traore | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Sven Mijnans |
| Prosper Obah | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Troy Parrott |
| Isaque | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Peer Koopmeiners |
| Artem Bondarenko | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Mexx Meerdink |
| Lucas Ferreira | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Matej Sin |
| Valeriy Bondar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mees de Wit |
| Oleg Ocheretko | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Isak Steiner Jensen |
| Alaa Ghram | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kees Smit |
| Dmytro Kryskiv | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jordy Clasie |
| Luca Meirelles | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mateo Chavez |
| Newerton | ⚽1 | ||
| Eguinaldo | ⚽1 | ||
| Maryan Shved | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 80% |
1.5 | 40% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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