Rugby

Tennis

Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens: our prediction

09/04/2026•18:45

Rayo Vallecano

3:0

(2:0)

Finished

AEK Athens

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens Preview — Conference League Final Stage

Rayo Vallecano hosts AEK Athens in the Conference League. Rayo, the home favorite, shows mixed form (4W, 4D, 2L in 10 matches) but a solid defense. AEK, less effective away, has a more prolific attack but a leakier defense. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.

Our Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Rayo Vallecano has seen 70% of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals. AEK Athens has a 40% rate for this same indicator. Rayo's solid defense (3 clean sheets in 10) and AEK's limited attack away (1 win in 10 matches) support this scenario. Overall goals per match statistics are low.

1.65

Confidence

High

AEK Athens to score under 1.5 goals

AEK Athens has scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches. Against Rayo Vallecano's solid defense (3 clean sheets, 70% of matches with under 2.5 goals), the Greek team could struggle to be prolific. AEK's away performances are limited (1 win in 10 matches).

1.95

Confidence

High

Rayo Vallecano to win

Rayo Vallecano is the home favorite (odds 1.95). Over the last 10 matches, Rayo has a win rate of 40% compared to AEK's 20% away. AEK has won only 1 of its last 10 away matches. The home advantage and Rayo's more reliable defense (only 2 losses in 10) give the Spanish team an edge.

1.76

Confidence

High

Market signals on Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Rayo Vallecano	AEK Athens
Win	4 4 2	6 3 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	40%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	50%	63%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	50%
Win by being an outsider	25%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	20% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	30%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Sergio Camello	50% (5/10)	30% (3/10)	Aboubakary Koita
Alexandre Zurawski	50% (5/10)	22% (2/9)	Luka Jovic
Florian Lejeune	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Zini
Randy Nteka	33% (2/6)	14% (1/7)	Joao Mario
		10% (1/10)	Orbelin Pineda
		10% (1/10)	Barnabas Varga
		11% (1/9)	Razvan Marin

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sergio Camello	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Aboubakary Koita
Alexandre Zurawski	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Zini
Florian Lejeune	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Luka Jovic
Randy Nteka	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Barnabas Varga
		⚽1	Joao Mario
		⚽1	Razvan Marin
		⚽1	Orbelin Pineda

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	90%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	60%	40%
Over corners 10.5	60%	30%
Over corners 11.5	50%	20%
Over corners 12.5	40%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	100%
Over corners 3.5	80%	70%
Over corners 4.5	70%	70%
Over corners 5.5	40%	50%
Over corners 6.5	40%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	100%
1.5	70%	80%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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