Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens: our prediction
09/04/2026•18:45
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
AEK Athens
-
1
-
X
-
2
Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Rayo Vallecano hosts AEK Athens in the Conference League. Rayo, the home favorite, shows mixed form (4W, 4D, 2L in 10 matches) but a solid defense. AEK, less effective away, has a more prolific attack but a leakier defense. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Rayo Vallecano has seen 70% of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals. AEK Athens has a 40% rate for this same indicator. Rayo's solid defense (3 clean sheets in 10) and AEK's limited attack away (1 win in 10 matches) support this scenario. Overall goals per match statistics are low.
1.65
Confidence
High
AEK Athens to score under 1.5 goals
AEK Athens has scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches. Against Rayo Vallecano's solid defense (3 clean sheets, 70% of matches with under 2.5 goals), the Greek team could struggle to be prolific. AEK's away performances are limited (1 win in 10 matches).
1.95
Confidence
High
Rayo Vallecano to win
Rayo Vallecano is the home favorite (odds 1.95). Over the last 10 matches, Rayo has a win rate of 40% compared to AEK's 20% away. AEK has won only 1 of its last 10 away matches. The home advantage and Rayo's more reliable defense (only 2 losses in 10) give the Spanish team an edge.
1.76
Confidence
High
Market signals on Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 88% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 40% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 63% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 20% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) | Aboubakary Koita |
| Alexandre Zurawski | 50% (5/10) | 22% (2/9) | Luka Jovic |
| Florian Lejeune | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Zini |
| Randy Nteka | 33% (2/6) | 14% (1/7) | Joao Mario |
10% (1/10) | Orbelin Pineda | ||
10% (1/10) | Barnabas Varga | ||
11% (1/9) | Razvan Marin |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Aboubakary Koita |
| Alexandre Zurawski | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Zini |
| Florian Lejeune | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luka Jovic |
| Randy Nteka | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Barnabas Varga |
⚽1 | Joao Mario | ||
⚽1 | Razvan Marin | ||
⚽1 | Orbelin Pineda |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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