Mainz 05 - Strasbourg: our prediction
09/04/2026•21:00
Mainz 05
2:0
(2:0)
Finished
Strasbourg
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Mainz 05 hosts Strasbourg in the Conference League. Recent statistics show Mainz as the home favorite with odds of 2.05, but Strasbourg is solid away with a 5-match unbeaten streak. Both teams have attacks capable of scoring, but defenses are sometimes vulnerable.
Our Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg predictions
Both teams to score
Strasbourg has scored in 80% of their last 10 matches (8/10), while Mainz has scored in 90% of their matches (9/10). Defenses are not tight: Mainz kept only 4 clean sheets in 10, Strasbourg only 2. With in-form attackers like Panichelli (7 goals) for Strasbourg and Nebel/Amiri (3 goals each) for Mainz, goals are likely from both sides.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Mainz had under 2.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10), Strasbourg in 40% (4/10). Half-time statistics show a low trend: only 30% of Mainz's matches and 20% of Strasbourg's exceeded 1.5 goals at half-time. Teams are often cautious early in the match. With a Mainz defense that limits goals at home (only 4 matches with over 2.5 goals in 10), a tight match is expected.
1.65
Confidence
High
Draw
Strasbourg is unbeaten in 5 matches (3 draws, 2 wins) and drew in 50% of their last 10 matches (5/10). Mainz drew in 30% of their recent matches (3/10). Both teams have similar performances: Mainz has 5 wins in 10 matches, Strasbourg also 5. Strasbourg's recent away form (no defeat in 5) and Mainz's home solidity (1 defeat in last 5 home matches) suggest balance. A tight match with points shared is plausible.
3.18
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 5 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 80% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) | Sebastian Nanasi |
| Sheraldo Becker | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Julio Enciso |
| Nadiem Amiri | 25% (2/8) | 20% (1/5) | Emanuel Emegha |
| Paul Nebel | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Andrew Omobamidele |
| Stefan Posch | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Diego Moreira |
| Phillipp Mwene | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Martial Godo |
| Kaishu Sano | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Abdoul Ouattara |
| Dominik Kohr | 10% (1/10) | 25% (1/4) | Valentin Barco |
10% (1/10) | Samuel Amo-Ameyaw |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Sebastian Nanasi |
| Paul Nebel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Julio Enciso |
| Sheraldo Becker | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Martial Godo |
| Nadiem Amiri | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Emanuel Emegha |
| Stefan Posch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Samuel Amo-Ameyaw |
| Dominik Kohr | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Abdoul Ouattara |
| Kaishu Sano | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Diego Moreira |
| Phillipp Mwene | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andrew Omobamidele |
⚽1 | Valentin Barco |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 80% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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