Rugby

Tennis

AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk: our prediction

16/04/2026•18:45

AZ Alkmaar

2:2

(0:0)

Finished

Shakhtar Donetsk

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview — Conference League Final Stage

AZ Alkmaar hosts Shakhtar Donetsk in the Conference League final stage. The Dutch side are bookmakers' favorites with odds at 1.94. Recent statistics show a prolific AZ attack (8/10 matches >2.5 goals) against a solid Shakhtar away defense (7/10 clean sheets). The match could be tight with a slight home advantage for AZ.

Our AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk predictions

AZ Alkmaar to score at least 0.5 goals

AZ Alkmaar has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches, demonstrating great offensive consistency. At home, against a team that may adopt a cautious approach away, opportunities should be present. Statistics show the team regularly exceeds the 0.5 goal mark, with scorers like Troy Parrott and Sven Mijnans (4 goals each in the period). The high statistical probability (70% success rate over 10 matches) supports this bet.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

AZ Alkmaar's offensive statistics are impressive: 8/10 recent matches exceeded 2.5 goals, with regular attacking output (7/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals scored). Shakhtar, despite solid defense, often participates in high-stakes matches in the final stage. Match pressure and AZ's home attack should generate opportunities. AZ's last 10 matches all exceeded 1.5 goals, indicating a strong offensive trend.

1.73

Confidence

High

AZ Alkmaar to win

AZ Alkmaar are favored at home (odds 1.94) with excellent offensive form: 6 wins in last 10 matches, 8/10 matches >2.5 goals, and 7/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals scored. Shakhtar, although solid away (7 wins/10, 7 clean sheets), has shown offensive difficulties on the road (only 3/10 matches with Both Teams to Score). Home advantage and AZ's prolific attack should make the difference.

2.52

Confidence

High

Market signals on AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AZ Alkmaar	Shakhtar Donetsk
Win	6 4	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	83%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	0%
Win by being an outsider	25%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	30% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Sven Mijnans	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Lassina Traore
Troy Parrott	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Prosper Obah
Mexx Meerdink	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Artem Bondarenko
Peer Koopmeiners	40% (2/5)	20% (2/10)	Lucas Ferreira
Matej Sin	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Dmytro Kryskiv
Kees Smit	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Luca Meirelles
Jordy Clasie	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Newerton
Mateo Chavez	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Alaa Ghram
Mees de Wit	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Isaque
Isak Steiner Jensen	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Eguinaldo
		20% (1/5)	Maryan Shved
		10% (1/10)	Valeriy Bondar
		11% (1/9)	Oleg Ocheretko

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sven Mijnans	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Prosper Obah
Troy Parrott	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Lassina Traore
Peer Koopmeiners	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Isaque
Mexx Meerdink	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Artem Bondarenko
Kees Smit	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lucas Ferreira
Jordy Clasie	⚽1	⚽1	Newerton
Mateo Chavez	⚽1	⚽1	Eguinaldo
Matej Sin	⚽1	⚽1	Maryan Shved
Mees de Wit	⚽1	⚽1	Valeriy Bondar
Isak Steiner Jensen	⚽1	⚽1	Oleg Ocheretko
		⚽1	Alaa Ghram
		⚽1	Dmytro Kryskiv
		⚽1	Luca Meirelles

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	70%
Over corners 7.5	90%	50%
Over corners 8.5	90%	40%
Over corners 9.5	70%	30%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	80%
Over corners 3.5	100%	80%
Over corners 4.5	80%	50%
Over corners 5.5	80%	30%
Over corners 6.5	60%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	40%	50%
2.5	10%	40%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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