AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk: our prediction
16/04/2026•18:45
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
(0:0)
Finished
Shakhtar Donetsk
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1
-
X
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2
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview — Conference League Final Stage
AZ Alkmaar hosts Shakhtar Donetsk in the Conference League final stage. The Dutch side are bookmakers' favorites with odds at 1.94. Recent statistics show a prolific AZ attack (8/10 matches >2.5 goals) against a solid Shakhtar away defense (7/10 clean sheets). The match could be tight with a slight home advantage for AZ.
Our AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk predictions
AZ Alkmaar to score at least 0.5 goals
AZ Alkmaar has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches, demonstrating great offensive consistency. At home, against a team that may adopt a cautious approach away, opportunities should be present. Statistics show the team regularly exceeds the 0.5 goal mark, with scorers like Troy Parrott and Sven Mijnans (4 goals each in the period). The high statistical probability (70% success rate over 10 matches) supports this bet.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
AZ Alkmaar's offensive statistics are impressive: 8/10 recent matches exceeded 2.5 goals, with regular attacking output (7/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals scored). Shakhtar, despite solid defense, often participates in high-stakes matches in the final stage. Match pressure and AZ's home attack should generate opportunities. AZ's last 10 matches all exceeded 1.5 goals, indicating a strong offensive trend.
1.73
Confidence
High
AZ Alkmaar to win
AZ Alkmaar are favored at home (odds 1.94) with excellent offensive form: 6 wins in last 10 matches, 8/10 matches >2.5 goals, and 7/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals scored. Shakhtar, although solid away (7 wins/10, 7 clean sheets), has shown offensive difficulties on the road (only 3/10 matches with Both Teams to Score). Home advantage and AZ's prolific attack should make the difference.
2.52
Confidence
High
Market signals on AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 4 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 83% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Mijnans | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Lassina Traore |
| Troy Parrott | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Prosper Obah |
| Mexx Meerdink | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Artem Bondarenko |
| Peer Koopmeiners | 40% (2/5) | 20% (2/10) | Lucas Ferreira |
| Matej Sin | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Dmytro Kryskiv |
| Kees Smit | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Luca Meirelles |
| Jordy Clasie | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Newerton |
| Mateo Chavez | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Alaa Ghram |
| Mees de Wit | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Isaque |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Eguinaldo |
20% (1/5) | Maryan Shved | ||
10% (1/10) | Valeriy Bondar | ||
11% (1/9) | Oleg Ocheretko |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Mijnans | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Prosper Obah |
| Troy Parrott | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Lassina Traore |
| Peer Koopmeiners | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Isaque |
| Mexx Meerdink | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Artem Bondarenko |
| Kees Smit | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Ferreira |
| Jordy Clasie | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Newerton |
| Mateo Chavez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eguinaldo |
| Matej Sin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Maryan Shved |
| Mees de Wit | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Valeriy Bondar |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Oleg Ocheretko |
⚽1 | Alaa Ghram | ||
⚽1 | Dmytro Kryskiv | ||
⚽1 | Luca Meirelles |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 40% | 50% |
2.5 | 10% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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