Fiorentina - Crystal Palace: our prediction
16/04/2026•21:00
Fiorentina
2:1
(1:1)
Finished
Crystal Palace
-
1
-
X
-
2
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Fiorentina hosts Crystal Palace in the Conference League final. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to Fiorentina (odds 2.60). In their last 10 matches, both teams show similar form with 5 wins each. Fiorentina is more effective at home, while Crystal Palace struggles away. Statistics suggest a tight match with potentially few goals.
Our Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace predictions
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Fiorentina had under 2.5 goals in 40% of its games, and Crystal Palace in 60%. Both teams have solid defenses (Fiorentina: 3 clean sheets/10, Crystal Palace: 5/10). In a final, caution is often the watchword, limiting the number of goals. Performance analysis shows both teams rarely score more than 1.5 goals per match (Fiorentina: 30%, Crystal Palace: 40%).
1.79
Confidence
High
Fiorentina to win
Fiorentina is favored by bookmakers (odds 2.60). At home, in its last 10 matches, it has won 50% of its victories (5/10). Crystal Palace, away, has won only 2 times in its last 10 away matches. Fiorentina has a good ability not to lose when favored (5 wins in 8 matches where it was favored). No information on major absences was found in the provided data, which strengthens the team's stability.
2.57
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 80% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cher Ndour | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Ismaila Sarr |
| Rolando Mandragora | 11% (1/9) | 30% (3/10) | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Nicolo Fagioli | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Joergen Strand Larsen |
| Jack Harrison | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Daniel Munoz |
| Roberto Piccoli | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Adam Wharton |
| Albert Gudmundsson | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Daichi Kamada |
| Robin Gosens | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cher Ndour | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ismaila Sarr |
| Nicolo Fagioli | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Jack Harrison | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daichi Kamada |
| Roberto Piccoli | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Munoz |
| Robin Gosens | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adam Wharton |
| Rolando Mandragora | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joergen Strand Larsen |
| Albert Gudmundsson | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 60% |
2.5 | 60% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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