Rugby

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Strasbourg - Mainz 05: our prediction

16/04/2026•21:00

Strasbourg

4:0

(2:0)

Finished

Mainz 05

Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 Preview — Conference League Final Stage

Strasbourg hosts Mainz 05 in the Conference League final stage. Strasbourg is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.87. In their last 10 matches, Strasbourg has won 5 times, drawn 4 times, and suffered 1 defeat, giving them a 50% success rate when they don't lose. Mainz 05 shows a balanced record with 5 wins and 3 draws out of 10 matches. The 'Both teams to score' bet has occurred 7 times for Strasbourg and 4 times for Mainz over this period.

Our Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 predictions

Strasbourg to Win

Strasbourg is clearly the favorite at home (odds 1.87). Over the last 10 matches, they have a solid record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 defeat. Their attack is effective, scoring at least 1 goal in 8 out of 10 matches. At home and as favorites, their success rate (not losing) is 50%. Mainz 05, away from home, has a defense that regularly concedes (only 4 clean sheets in 10 matches). The absence of information on major injuries reinforces confidence in a home win.

1.87

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

The statistics from the last 10 matches strongly support this scenario. For Strasbourg, 'Both Teams to Score' occurred in 7 out of 10 matches (70%). Their defense conceded at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches. For Mainz 05, the bet occurred 4 times out of 10 (40%), but their attack scored in 7 of their last 10 matches. Strasbourg's offensive tendency at home and Mainz's ability to find the net away make this bet very likely. No information on major absences of attackers was found.

1.65

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

This bet is supported by the offensive tendencies of both teams. Strasbourg has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Their attack is capable of scoring multiple goals (Joaquin Panichelli has scored in 5 of his last 8 matches). Mainz 05 has seen this scenario occur in 3 of its last 10 matches (30%). However, the combination of a strong home attack and an away defense that concedes (only 4 clean sheets in 10 for Mainz) creates an environment conducive to a match with several goals. The 'Both Teams to Score' bet also being likely increases the chances of exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold.

1.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Strasbourg vs Mainz 05

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Strasbourg	Mainz 05
Win	5 4 1	5 3 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	60%
Win by being a favorite	56%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	40% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Sebastian Nanasi	44% (4/9)	30% (3/10)	Phillip Tietz
Julio Enciso	20% (2/10)	25% (2/8)	Sheraldo Becker
Emanuel Emegha	20% (1/5)	20% (2/10)	Paul Nebel
Andrew Omobamidele	11% (1/9)	25% (2/8)	Nadiem Amiri
Diego Moreira	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Dominik Kohr
Abdoul Ouattara	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Stefan Posch
Valentin Barco	25% (1/4)	10% (1/10)	Phillipp Mwene
Martial Godo	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Kaishu Sano
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sebastian Nanasi	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Phillip Tietz
Martial Godo	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Paul Nebel
Julio Enciso	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Sheraldo Becker
Andrew Omobamidele	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Nadiem Amiri
Valentin Barco	⚽1	⚽1	Kaishu Sano
Emanuel Emegha	⚽1	⚽1	Phillipp Mwene
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw	⚽1	⚽1	Stefan Posch
Abdoul Ouattara	⚽1	⚽1	Dominik Kohr
Diego Moreira	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	90%	80%
Over corners 8.5	90%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	50%	20%
Over corners 12.5	20%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	80%	70%
Over corners 4.5	30%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	20%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	60%	40%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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