Rugby

Tennis

AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen: our prediction

19/04/2026•18:00

AZ Alkmaar

5:1

(1:0)

Finished

NEC Nijmegen

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Preview — KNVB Cup

AZ Alkmaar hosts NEC Nijmegen in the KNVB Cup. Bookmakers give a slight edge to NEC (odds 2.47 vs 2.53 for AZ). Over their last 10 matches, AZ has won 6, NEC 4. Offensive statistics are solid on both sides, with a strong trend for over 2.5 goals matches for AZ (9/10). NEC often sees both teams score (8/10). No information on major absences was found in the provided data.

Our AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

AZ Alkmaar shows a very strong offensive statistic: 9 of its last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 total goals. At home, they score regularly (parou05: 8/10). NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, sees both teams score in 80% of its last matches (8/10), contributing to a high goal total. Their defense often concedes (clean sheet only 2/10). The combination of AZ's prolific attack and NEC's tendency for open matches strongly supports this bet.

1.62

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

The most striking statistic is that of NEC Nijmegen: in 8 of its last 10 matches, both teams scored. Their attack is effective (parou05: 10/10, parou15: 6/10) but their defense is leaky (clean sheet only 2/10). AZ Alkmaar, although more solid defensively (clean sheet 4/10), scores in the vast majority of its matches (parou05: 8/10). At home, AZ has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (undeux). The offensive dynamic of both teams makes this scenario very likely.

1.53

Confidence

High

AZ Alkmaar to win

AZ Alkmaar shows better form over the last 10 matches (6 wins vs 4 for NEC). They play at home, a definite advantage. Their attack is formidable (over25: 9/10) and they often win when favored (winfav: 5/7). However, NEC is the team designated as favorite by the bookmakers (odds 2.47) and is solid as an outsider (does not lose as an outsider: 4/4). This bet is therefore riskier but relies on AZ's offensive strength and home factor to counter the official favorite designation.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AZ Alkmaar	NEC Nijmegen
Win	6 1 3	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	71%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	50%
Win by being an outsider	33%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	80% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	60%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Sven Mijnans	40% (4/10)	30% (3/10)	Bryan Linssen
Troy Parrott	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Noe Lebreton
Mexx Meerdink	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Tjaronn Chery
Peer Koopmeiners	40% (2/5)	25% (2/8)	Basar Onal
Kees Smit	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Darko Nejasmic
Jordy Clasie	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Youssef El Kachati
Mateo Chavez	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Koki Ogawa
Isak Steiner Jensen	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Sami Ouaissa
Mees de Wit	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Danilo
Matej Sin	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sven Mijnans	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Bryan Linssen
Troy Parrott	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Tjaronn Chery
Peer Koopmeiners	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Noe Lebreton
Mexx Meerdink	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Basar Onal
Isak Steiner Jensen	⚽1	⚽1	Sami Ouaissa
Kees Smit	⚽1	⚽1	Danilo
Jordy Clasie	⚽1	⚽1	Youssef El Kachati
Mateo Chavez	⚽1	⚽1	Koki Ogawa
Matej Sin	⚽1	⚽1	Darko Nejasmic
Mees de Wit	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	60%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	50%
Over corners 11.5	50%	30%
Over corners 12.5	50%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	100%	90%
Over corners 4.5	80%	80%
Over corners 5.5	50%	80%
Over corners 6.5	40%	60%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	40%	50%
2.5	10%	40%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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