Rugby

Tennis

Lens - Toulouse: our prediction

21/04/2026•21:10

Lens

4:1

(3:1)

Finished

Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse Preview — Coupe de France

Lens hosts Toulouse in the French Cup. Lens is the favorite with odds at 1.54. In the last 10 matches, Lens has 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while Toulouse has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. Statistics show a strong offensive trend from Lens and a vulnerable defense from Toulouse.

Our Lens vs Toulouse predictions

Both Teams to Score

Lens has seen both teams score in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Toulouse has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Lens has scored in 9/10 matches, Toulouse has scored in 7/10 matches. The defenses are not tight: Lens has kept only 2 clean sheets, Toulouse only 1. The historical trend and recent statistics strongly support this scenario.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

Lens matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 9 of the last 10 matches (90%). Toulouse matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 matches (60%). Lens has a prolific attack (scores regularly) and a defense that concedes (only 2 clean sheets). Toulouse has a weak defense (1 clean sheet) and can score. The combination of Lens's attack at home and defensive vulnerability on both sides makes this bet very likely.

1.64

Confidence

High

Lens Win

Lens is clearly the favorite at home with a low odds of 1.54. In the last 10 matches, Lens has won 50% of its encounters, while Toulouse has lost 60% of its matches. Lens has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, and Toulouse has conceded at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches. Toulouse's defense is vulnerable (only 1 clean sheet in 10). Lens has a performing attack with scorers like Thauvin (5 goals). No information on major absences was found.

1.53

Confidence

High

Market signals on Lens vs Toulouse

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lens vs Toulouse Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Lens	Toulouse
Win	5 2 3	2 2 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	33%
Win by being a favorite	56%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	17%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	60% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	0%	50%
2nd half	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Florian Thauvin	50% (4/8)	30% (3/10)	Emersonn
Allan Saint-Maximin	43% (3/7)	25% (2/8)	Dayann Methalie
Adrien Thomasson	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Seny Koumbassa
Abdallah Sima	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Jacen Russell-Rowe
Matthieu Udol	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Yann Gboho
Florian Sotoca	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Warren Kamanzi
Wesley Said	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Rasmus Nicolaisen
Pierre Ganiou	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Santiago Hidalgo
Saud Abdulhamid	14% (1/7)	11% (1/9)	Aron Doennum
Mezian Soares	33% (1/3)	11% (1/9)	Cristian Casseres Jr.
Odsonne Edouard	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Mario Sauer

Total goals per player

	1	2
Florian Thauvin	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Emersonn
Allan Saint-Maximin	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Yann Gboho
Wesley Said	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Dayann Methalie
Adrien Thomasson	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Seny Koumbassa
Abdallah Sima	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jacen Russell-Rowe
Saud Abdulhamid	⚽1	⚽1	Aron Doennum
Mezian Soares	⚽1	⚽1	Cristian Casseres Jr.
Pierre Ganiou	⚽1	⚽1	Mario Sauer
Matthieu Udol	⚽1	⚽1	Rasmus Nicolaisen
Florian Sotoca	⚽1	⚽1	Santiago Hidalgo
Odsonne Edouard	⚽1	⚽1	Warren Kamanzi

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	70%
Over corners 7.5	90%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	60%	40%
Over corners 10.5	30%	30%
Over corners 11.5	20%	20%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	60%
Over corners 4.5	80%	30%
Over corners 5.5	70%	20%
Over corners 6.5	60%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	100%
1.5	50%	70%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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