Lens - Toulouse: our prediction
21/04/2026•21:10
Lens
4:1
(3:1)
Finished
Toulouse
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lens vs Toulouse Preview — Coupe de France
Lens hosts Toulouse in the French Cup. Lens is the favorite with odds at 1.54. In the last 10 matches, Lens has 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while Toulouse has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. Statistics show a strong offensive trend from Lens and a vulnerable defense from Toulouse.
Our Lens vs Toulouse predictions
Both Teams to Score
Lens has seen both teams score in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Toulouse has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Lens has scored in 9/10 matches, Toulouse has scored in 7/10 matches. The defenses are not tight: Lens has kept only 2 clean sheets, Toulouse only 1. The historical trend and recent statistics strongly support this scenario.
1.7
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
Lens matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 9 of the last 10 matches (90%). Toulouse matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 matches (60%). Lens has a prolific attack (scores regularly) and a defense that concedes (only 2 clean sheets). Toulouse has a weak defense (1 clean sheet) and can score. The combination of Lens's attack at home and defensive vulnerability on both sides makes this bet very likely.
1.64
Confidence
High
Lens Win
Lens is clearly the favorite at home with a low odds of 1.54. In the last 10 matches, Lens has won 50% of its encounters, while Toulouse has lost 60% of its matches. Lens has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, and Toulouse has conceded at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches. Toulouse's defense is vulnerable (only 1 clean sheet in 10). Lens has a performing attack with scorers like Thauvin (5 goals). No information on major absences was found.
1.53
Confidence
High
Market signals on Lens vs Toulouse
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lens vs Toulouse Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 2 2 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 56% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 50% |
2nd half | 70% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Thauvin | 50% (4/8) | 30% (3/10) | Emersonn |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | 43% (3/7) | 25% (2/8) | Dayann Methalie |
| Adrien Thomasson | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Seny Koumbassa |
| Abdallah Sima | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Matthieu Udol | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Yann Gboho |
| Florian Sotoca | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Warren Kamanzi |
| Wesley Said | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Pierre Ganiou | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Saud Abdulhamid | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Aron Doennum |
| Mezian Soares | 33% (1/3) | 11% (1/9) | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
| Odsonne Edouard | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Mario Sauer |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Thauvin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Emersonn |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Yann Gboho |
| Wesley Said | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Dayann Methalie |
| Adrien Thomasson | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Seny Koumbassa |
| Abdallah Sima | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Saud Abdulhamid | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aron Doennum |
| Mezian Soares | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
| Pierre Ganiou | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mario Sauer |
| Matthieu Udol | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Florian Sotoca | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Odsonne Edouard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Warren Kamanzi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 100% |
1.5 | 50% | 70% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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