Rugby

Tennis

Sao Tome and Principe - Ethiopia: our prediction

27/03/2026•17:00

Sao Tome and Principe

0:3

(0:2)

Finished

Ethiopia

Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Preliminary Round

São Tomé and Príncipe, at home, faces Ethiopia in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Ethiopia, stronger on paper, is the favorite, but São Tomé and Príncipe can rely on home advantage. Recent statistics show struggling teams, with shaky defenses and unproductive attacks. A tight match with few goals is expected.

Our Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia predictions

Ethiopia to win

Ethiopia has a more qualified squad and has won 3 of its last 10 matches, compared to only 1 for São Tomé. São Tomé has lost 7 of its last 10 matches. Ethiopia has already won as a favorite ('winfav' indicator). However, Ethiopia's recent form is not excellent (7 losses in 10 matches), which limits confidence. No information on major absences was found.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sao Tome and Principe	Ethiopia
Win	1 2 7	3 7
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	0%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	30%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	10%	25%
Win by being an outsider	10%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	40% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 30%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ronaldo Lumungo	25% (2/8)	17% (1/6)	Ramkel James
Luis Costa	25% (1/4)	17% (1/6)	Bereket Desta
Denilson Silva	50% (1/2)	50% (1/2)	Abubeker Nasir
		50% (1/2)	Biniam Ayten

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ronaldo Lumungo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Bereket Desta
Denilson Silva	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Abubeker Nasir
Luis Costa	⚽1	⚽1	Ramkel James
		⚽1	Biniam Ayten

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	63%	63%
Over corners 7.5	63%	50%
Over corners 8.5	63%	38%
Over corners 9.5	63%	13%
Over corners 10.5	50%	13%
Over corners 11.5	50%	13%
Over corners 12.5	25%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	30%	20%
Over corners 3.5	20%	0%
Over corners 4.5	10%	0%
Over corners 5.5	10%	0%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	40%
1.5	20%	30%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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