Sao Tome and Principe - Ethiopia: our prediction
27/03/2026•17:00
Sao Tome and Principe
0:3
(0:2)
Finished
Ethiopia
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1
-
X
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2
Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Preliminary Round
São Tomé and Príncipe, at home, faces Ethiopia in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Ethiopia, stronger on paper, is the favorite, but São Tomé and Príncipe can rely on home advantage. Recent statistics show struggling teams, with shaky defenses and unproductive attacks. A tight match with few goals is expected.
Our Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia predictions
Ethiopia to win
Ethiopia has a more qualified squad and has won 3 of its last 10 matches, compared to only 1 for São Tomé. São Tomé has lost 7 of its last 10 matches. Ethiopia has already won as a favorite ('winfav' indicator). However, Ethiopia's recent form is not excellent (7 losses in 10 matches), which limits confidence. No information on major absences was found.
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Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 3 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 30% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 10% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 10% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 40% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 30% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Lumungo | 25% (2/8) | 17% (1/6) | Ramkel James |
| Luis Costa | 25% (1/4) | 17% (1/6) | Bereket Desta |
| Denilson Silva | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) | Abubeker Nasir |
50% (1/2) | Biniam Ayten |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Lumungo | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Bereket Desta |
| Denilson Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Abubeker Nasir |
| Luis Costa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ramkel James |
⚽1 | Biniam Ayten |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 63% | 63% |
Over corners 7.5 | 63% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 63% | 38% |
Over corners 9.5 | 63% | 13% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 13% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 13% |
Over corners 12.5 | 25% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 40% |
1.5 | 20% | 30% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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