Rugby

Tennis

Salzburg - Sturm Graz: our prediction

03/05/2026•17:00

Salzburg

1:1

(1:0)

Finished

Sturm Graz

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Preview — Bundesliga Championship Group

Salzburg hosts Sturm Graz in a top-of-the-table clash in the Bundesliga Championship Group. Salzburg is the favorite with odds of 1.65, but their recent form is mediocre (3 wins in 10 matches). Sturm Graz, the underdog at 4.33, is very solid defensively and has not lost any of their last 6 matches as an underdog. Both teams tend to score (BTS 50% for Salzburg, 70% for Sturm), but Sturm Graz's matches are often under 2.5 goals (80%).

Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz predictions

Over 0.5 goals for Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz has scored in 90% of their last 10 matches (parou05 indicator). This statistic is extremely reliable. Combined with Salzburg's defensive weakness (90% of matches without a clean sheet), it is very likely that Sturm Graz will find the back of the net.

1.36

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Sturm Graz is a very defensive team: 80% of their matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Salzburg, for their part, has seen 60% of their matches stay under this threshold. The trend is clearly towards a tight, low-scoring game, despite the tendency of both teams to score.

2.6

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Salzburg has kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches, while Sturm Graz has scored in 70% of their games. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with Salzburg failing to keep a clean sheet in 90% of their matches. The match promises to be open.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Salzburg vs Sturm Graz

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Salzburg	Sturm Graz
Win	3 2 5	3 7
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	50%
Win by being a favorite	30%	25%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Karim Konate	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Otar Kiteishvili
Yorbe Vertessen	30% (3/10)	22% (2/9)	Albert Vallci
Kerim Alajbegovic	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Gizo Mamageishvili
Sota Kitano	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Paul-Friedrich Koller
Jannik Schuster	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Luca Weinhandl
Karim Onisiwo	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Stefan Hierlaender
Maurits Kjaergaard	14% (1/7)	11% (1/9)	Seedy Jatta
		11% (1/9)	Jon Gorenc-Stankovic
		13% (1/8)	Axel Kayombo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Karim Konate	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Otar Kiteishvili
Yorbe Vertessen	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Albert Vallci
Kerim Alajbegovic	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Paul-Friedrich Koller
Sota Kitano	⚽1	⚽1	Gizo Mamageishvili
Jannik Schuster	⚽1	⚽1	Jon Gorenc-Stankovic
Maurits Kjaergaard	⚽1	⚽1	Axel Kayombo
Karim Onisiwo	⚽1	⚽1	Seedy Jatta
		⚽1	Luca Weinhandl
		⚽1	Stefan Hierlaender

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	50%	90%
Over corners 7.5	40%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	70%
Over corners 9.5	20%	50%
Over corners 10.5	20%	40%
Over corners 11.5	10%	40%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	40%	50%
3.5	20%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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