Salzburg - Sturm Graz: our prediction
03/05/2026•17:00
Salzburg
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Sturm Graz
-
1
-
X
-
2
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Preview — Bundesliga Championship Group
Salzburg hosts Sturm Graz in a top-of-the-table clash in the Bundesliga Championship Group. Salzburg is the favorite with odds of 1.65, but their recent form is mediocre (3 wins in 10 matches). Sturm Graz, the underdog at 4.33, is very solid defensively and has not lost any of their last 6 matches as an underdog. Both teams tend to score (BTS 50% for Salzburg, 70% for Sturm), but Sturm Graz's matches are often under 2.5 goals (80%).
Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz predictions
Over 0.5 goals for Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz has scored in 90% of their last 10 matches (parou05 indicator). This statistic is extremely reliable. Combined with Salzburg's defensive weakness (90% of matches without a clean sheet), it is very likely that Sturm Graz will find the back of the net.
1.36
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 goals
Sturm Graz is a very defensive team: 80% of their matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Salzburg, for their part, has seen 60% of their matches stay under this threshold. The trend is clearly towards a tight, low-scoring game, despite the tendency of both teams to score.
2.6
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
Salzburg has kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches, while Sturm Graz has scored in 70% of their games. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with Salzburg failing to keep a clean sheet in 90% of their matches. The match promises to be open.
1.5
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 30% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Karim Konate | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Otar Kiteishvili |
| Yorbe Vertessen | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Albert Vallci |
| Kerim Alajbegovic | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Gizo Mamageishvili |
| Sota Kitano | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Paul-Friedrich Koller |
| Jannik Schuster | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Luca Weinhandl |
| Karim Onisiwo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Stefan Hierlaender |
| Maurits Kjaergaard | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Seedy Jatta |
11% (1/9) | Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | ||
13% (1/8) | Axel Kayombo |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Karim Konate | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Otar Kiteishvili |
| Yorbe Vertessen | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Albert Vallci |
| Kerim Alajbegovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Paul-Friedrich Koller |
| Sota Kitano | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gizo Mamageishvili |
| Jannik Schuster | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jon Gorenc-Stankovic |
| Maurits Kjaergaard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Axel Kayombo |
| Karim Onisiwo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seedy Jatta |
⚽1 | Luca Weinhandl | ||
⚽1 | Stefan Hierlaender |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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