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Chelsea - Port Vale: our prediction

04/04/2026•18:15

Chelsea

7:0

(3:0)

Finished

Port Vale

Chelsea vs Port Vale Preview — FA Cup

Chelsea, the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.05), hosts Port Vale, a League Two underdog, in the FA Cup. Chelsea displays a prolific attack (8/10 matches with over 2.5 goals) but a fragile defense (6/10 matches with BTTS). Port Vale is defensively solid away from home (8/10 matches with under 2.5 goals). The most likely scenario is a comfortable Chelsea win with multiple goals.

Our Chelsea vs Port Vale predictions

Chelsea to Win

Chelsea is the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.05) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, Chelsea has won 2 games but only lost 2 times when favored (indicator 'nepredpasfav': 6/8). Port Vale, a League Two team, has little experience as a winning underdog against favorites of this caliber. The difference in level and cup motivation should secure a Chelsea win.

1.03

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Chelsea's matches are very offensive: 8/10 of the last matches saw over 2.5 goals. The team scores regularly but also concedes (6/10 BTTS). Port Vale, although defensive away (8/10 matches with under 2.5 goals), faces a Premier League attack. Chelsea, spurred on by their home crowd, should score at least 2-3 goals, and a defensive error could allow Port Vale to get on the scoresheet, contributing to the total.

1.19

Confidence

High

Market signals on Chelsea vs Port Vale

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea vs Port Vale Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea	Port Vale
Win	2 3 5	3 3 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	0%
Win by being a favorite	25%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	60%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	30%
Win by being an outsider	0%	30%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	20% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	40%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	33% (3/9)	22% (2/9)	Ryan Croasdale
Andrey Santos	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Connor Hall
Joao Pedro	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Martin Sherif
Jorrel Hato	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ethon Archer
Estevao	33% (1/3)	11% (1/9)	Jordan Gabriel
Cole Palmer	11% (1/9)
Alejandro Garnacho	13% (1/8)
Tosin Adarabioyo	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Ethon Archer
Andrey Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ryan Croasdale
Joao Pedro	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Connor Hall
Tosin Adarabioyo	⚽1	⚽1	Jordan Gabriel
Alejandro Garnacho	⚽1	⚽1	Martin Sherif
Jorrel Hato	⚽1
Estevao	⚽1
Cole Palmer	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	70%	50%
Over corners 11.5	50%	40%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	40%
Over corners 3.5	90%	40%
Over corners 4.5	60%	40%
Over corners 5.5	60%	10%
Over corners 6.5	60%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	70%
1.5	80%	70%
2.5	40%	40%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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