Chelsea - Port Vale: our prediction
04/04/2026•18:15
Chelsea
7:0
(3:0)
Finished
Port Vale
-
1
-
X
-
2
Chelsea vs Port Vale Preview — FA Cup
Chelsea, the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.05), hosts Port Vale, a League Two underdog, in the FA Cup. Chelsea displays a prolific attack (8/10 matches with over 2.5 goals) but a fragile defense (6/10 matches with BTTS). Port Vale is defensively solid away from home (8/10 matches with under 2.5 goals). The most likely scenario is a comfortable Chelsea win with multiple goals.
Our Chelsea vs Port Vale predictions
Chelsea to Win
Chelsea is the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.05) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, Chelsea has won 2 games but only lost 2 times when favored (indicator 'nepredpasfav': 6/8). Port Vale, a League Two team, has little experience as a winning underdog against favorites of this caliber. The difference in level and cup motivation should secure a Chelsea win.
1.03
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Chelsea's matches are very offensive: 8/10 of the last matches saw over 2.5 goals. The team scores regularly but also concedes (6/10 BTTS). Port Vale, although defensive away (8/10 matches with under 2.5 goals), faces a Premier League attack. Chelsea, spurred on by their home crowd, should score at least 2-3 goals, and a defensive error could allow Port Vale to get on the scoresheet, contributing to the total.
1.19
Confidence
High
Market signals on Chelsea vs Port Vale
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chelsea vs Port Vale Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 30% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 30% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 20% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernandez | 33% (3/9) | 22% (2/9) | Ryan Croasdale |
| Andrey Santos | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Connor Hall |
| Joao Pedro | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Martin Sherif |
| Jorrel Hato | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ethon Archer |
| Estevao | 33% (1/3) | 11% (1/9) | Jordan Gabriel |
| Cole Palmer | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Alejandro Garnacho | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Tosin Adarabioyo | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernandez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ethon Archer |
| Andrey Santos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ryan Croasdale |
| Joao Pedro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Connor Hall |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jordan Gabriel |
| Alejandro Garnacho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Martin Sherif |
| Jorrel Hato | ⚽1 | ||
| Estevao | ⚽1 | ||
| Cole Palmer | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 80% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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