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West Ham United - Leeds United: our prediction

05/04/2026•17:30

West Ham United

2:2

(0:1)

Finished AP

2 tab 4

Leeds United

West Ham United vs Leeds United Preview — FA Cup

West Ham United hosts Leeds United in the FA Cup. The Hammers are slight favorites according to bookmakers (odds 2.4 vs 2.7 for Leeds). Recent statistics show two teams in mixed form, with a tendency for tight matches and few goals. No information on major absences was found.

Our West Ham United vs Leeds United predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, West Ham recorded under 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10) and Leeds in 60% of cases (6/10). Both teams have relatively solid defenses and an unprolific attack recently. The FA Cup, in advanced stages, often sees cautious matches.

1.81

Confidence

High

Leeds United scores under 1.5 goals

Leeds scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Their attack, despite scorers like Piroe and Calvert-Lewin, has been irregular. Facing a West Ham defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of its recent matches (4/10), Leeds may struggle to score more than one goal.

1.4

Confidence

High

Draw

Both teams drew in 50% of their respective last 10 matches (5/10 each). Bookmakers' odds suggest a balanced match (home win at 2.4, draw at 3.4, away win at 2.7). Neither team clearly dominates the other in terms of recent form.

3.2

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on West Ham United vs Leeds United

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

West Ham United vs Leeds United Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	West Ham United	Leeds United
Win	2 5 3	2 5 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	33%
Win by being a favorite	50%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	63%	60%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	13%	0%
Win by being an outsider	13%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Valentin Castellanos	30% (3/10)	50% (5/10)	Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Tomas Soucek	20% (2/10)	38% (3/8)	Noah Okafor
Konstantinos Mavropanos	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Wilfried Gnonto
Callum Wilson	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	James Justin
Mateus Fernandes	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Pascal Struijk
Axel Disasi	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ao Tanaka
Jarrod Bowen	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Anton Stach
Kyle Walker-Peters	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Brenden Aaronson
		11% (1/9)	Sean Longstaff

Total goals per player

	1	2
Valentin Castellanos	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Konstantinos Mavropanos	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Noah Okafor
Callum Wilson	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Pascal Struijk
Tomas Soucek	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ao Tanaka
Mateus Fernandes	⚽1	⚽1	Wilfried Gnonto
Kyle Walker-Peters	⚽1	⚽1	James Justin
Jarrod Bowen	⚽1	⚽1	Anton Stach
Axel Disasi	⚽1	⚽1	Brenden Aaronson
		⚽1	Sean Longstaff

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	90%
Over corners 7.5	90%	90%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	50%
Over corners 10.5	80%	50%
Over corners 11.5	70%	30%
Over corners 12.5	50%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	80%
1.5	50%	50%
2.5	10%	30%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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