West Ham United - Leeds United: our prediction
05/04/2026•17:30
West Ham United
2:2
(0:1)
Finished AP
2 tab 4
Leeds United
-
1
-
X
-
2
West Ham United vs Leeds United Preview — FA Cup
West Ham United hosts Leeds United in the FA Cup. The Hammers are slight favorites according to bookmakers (odds 2.4 vs 2.7 for Leeds). Recent statistics show two teams in mixed form, with a tendency for tight matches and few goals. No information on major absences was found.
Our West Ham United vs Leeds United predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, West Ham recorded under 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10) and Leeds in 60% of cases (6/10). Both teams have relatively solid defenses and an unprolific attack recently. The FA Cup, in advanced stages, often sees cautious matches.
1.81
Confidence
High
Leeds United scores under 1.5 goals
Leeds scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Their attack, despite scorers like Piroe and Calvert-Lewin, has been irregular. Facing a West Ham defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of its recent matches (4/10), Leeds may struggle to score more than one goal.
1.4
Confidence
High
Draw
Both teams drew in 50% of their respective last 10 matches (5/10 each). Bookmakers' odds suggest a balanced match (home win at 2.4, draw at 3.4, away win at 2.7). Neither team clearly dominates the other in terms of recent form.
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on West Ham United vs Leeds United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
West Ham United vs Leeds United Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 5 3 | 2 5 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 63% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 13% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Castellanos | 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) | Dominic Calvert-Lewin |
| Callum Wilson | 22% (2/9) | 38% (3/8) | Noah Okafor |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Pascal Struijk |
| Tomas Soucek | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ao Tanaka |
| Jarrod Bowen | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Anton Stach |
| Axel Disasi | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Brenden Aaronson |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Sean Longstaff |
| Mateus Fernandes | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Wilfried Gnonto |
10% (1/10) | James Justin |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Castellanos | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Dominic Calvert-Lewin |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Noah Okafor |
| Tomas Soucek | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Brenden Aaronson |
| Callum Wilson | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sean Longstaff |
| Axel Disasi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pascal Struijk |
| Mateus Fernandes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ao Tanaka |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Wilfried Gnonto |
| Jarrod Bowen | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | James Justin |
⚽1 | Anton Stach |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 50% | 50% |
2.5 | 10% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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