Mamelodi Sundowns FC - Esperance: our prediction
18/04/2026•15:00
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Esperance
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage
Mamelodi Sundowns FC hosts Espérance in the CAF Champions League. The Sundowns are bookmakers' favorites with odds at 1.91, showing excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches. Espérance, away from home, has won 7 of its last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a solid defense from Espérance.
Our Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The defensive statistics of both teams support this bet. Mamelodi Sundowns FC saw under 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Espérance is even more defensive, with under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Furthermore, only 40% of Sundowns' matches and 20% of Espérance's matches saw both teams score (BTS). This indicates a potentially low-scoring match, with dominant defenses.
1.43
Confidence
High
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Victory
Mamelodi Sundowns FC is in excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches (90% success rate). At home, they are bookmakers' favorites (odds 1.91) and have a strong tendency to win when favored (8 wins in 8 matches). Espérance, although solid (7 wins/10), plays away and has a very performing defense (7 clean sheets/10). However, the home advantage and the Sundowns' form are decisive. No information on major absences was found.
1.85
Confidence
High
Market signals on Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 20% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Leon | 80% (4/5) | ||
| Teboho Mokoena | 29% (2/7) | ||
| Tashreeq Matthews | 29% (2/7) | ||
| Nuno Santos | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Marcelo Allende | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Aubrey Maphosa Modiba | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Tsiki Ntsabeleng | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Iqraam Rayners | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Leon | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽2 | Florian Danho |
| Tashreeq Matthews | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Kouceila Boualia |
| Teboho Mokoena | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Hamza Rafia |
| Nuno Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hamza Jelassi |
| Aubrey Maphosa Modiba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mohamed Tougai |
| Tsiki Ntsabeleng | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yassine Meriah |
| Iqraam Rayners | ⚽1 | ||
| Marcelo Allende | ⚽1 | ||
| Bennet Mokoena | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
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