Union St.Gilloise - KV Mechelen: our prediction
10/05/2026•18:30
Union St.Gilloise
3:0
(1:0)
Finished
KV Mechelen
-
1
-
X
-
2
Union St.Gilloise vs KV Mechelen Preview — Belgian Pro League Playoff Championship Group
Union Saint-Gilloise, heavy favorite (odds at 1.3), faces KV Mechelen. Statistics show a clear home dominance for Union with 70% wins in their last 10 matches, while Mechelen has lost 6 of their last 10. Union's attack is in form, but their defense is not impenetrable (only 5 clean sheets). Mechelen, on the other hand, struggles away but often manages to score (7 out of 10 matches with both teams scoring).
Our Union St.Gilloise vs KV Mechelen predictions
KV Mechelen - Under 1.5 goals
KV Mechelen has scored a maximum of 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 matches. Union Saint-Gilloise has a good defense that kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions out of 10. It is therefore very likely that Mechelen will not score more than one goal, if any. This bet is very solid.
1.5
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Union Saint-Gilloise - Over 1.5 goals
Union Saint-Gilloise has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches. At home and against a Mechelen defense that has conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, Union has a good chance of scoring at least 2 goals. Combined with the 'Under 1.5 goals for Mechelen' bet, this suggests a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline.
1.22
Confidence
High (65 %)
Union Saint-Gilloise Victory
Union Saint-Gilloise is the logical favorite. They play at home where they are very strong (70% wins). Their attack is effective and Mechelen is struggling, especially away (6 losses in 10). The odds of 1.3 reflect this dominance. The bet is solid, but not certain, as Mechelen can cause surprises.
1.41
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Union St.Gilloise vs KV Mechelen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Union St.Gilloise vs KV Mechelen Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 2 1 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 70% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 22% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Biondic | 38% (3/8) | 30% (3/10) | Bouke Boersma |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Myron van Brederode |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Mory Konate |
| Ross Sykes | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Bill Antonio |
| Adem Zorgane | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Therence Koudou |
| Guilherme Smith | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Anan Khalaili | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Besfort Zeneli | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Kevin Mac Allister | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Mohammed Fuseini | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Biondic | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Bouke Boersma |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Myron van Brederode |
| Adem Zorgane | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mory Konate |
| Ross Sykes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bill Antonio |
| Kevin Rodriguez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Therence Koudou |
| Besfort Zeneli | ⚽1 | ||
| Mohammed Fuseini | ⚽1 | ||
| Anan Khalaili | ⚽1 | ||
| Guilherme Smith | ⚽1 | ||
| Kevin Mac Allister | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 70% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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