Atletico MG - Ceara: our prediction
24/04/2026•00:00
Atletico MG
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Ceara
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico MG vs Ceara Preview — Cup
Atlético MG hosts Ceará in the Brazilian Cup. Bookmakers clearly favor the home team (odds at 1.57). Over their last 10 matches, Atlético has a balanced record (5W, 5L) but is strong at home. Ceará, struggling away, finds it hard to win (only 1 loss in 10) but draws many games. A likely tight match, with an advantage for the home side.
Our Atletico MG vs Ceara predictions
Under 2.5 Goals in the Match
The statistics from the last 10 matches strongly suggest a low-scoring game. Atlético MG had under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches. Ceará is even more pronounced with 8 out of 10 matches under 2.5 goals. Ceará's away attack is weak (only 3 times over 1.5 goals per team in 10 matches). Atlético, although capable of scoring, faces a team that defends relatively well (5 clean sheets). A tactical and tight match is expected.
1.57
Confidence
High
Atlético MG to Win
Atlético MG is the clear bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.57) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, the team has won 5 times, showing winning ability. Against a Ceará that hardly wins away (only 3 wins in 10 matches as favorite, and only 1 win as outsider) and has 5 draws, the home win is the most likely scenario. Ceará's defense is not impenetrable (5 clean sheets in 10).
1.54
Confidence
High
Market signals on Atletico MG vs Ceara
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico MG vs Ceara Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 5 | 4 5 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 80% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 83% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 50% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 0% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Minda | 30% (3/10) | 100% (2/2) | Melk |
| Mateo Cassierra | 33% (3/9) | 50% (1/2) | Eder |
| Maycon Barberan | 22% (2/9) | 50% (1/2) | Julio Cesar |
| Bernard | 22% (2/9) | 50% (1/2) | Lucas Lima |
| Renan Lodi | 13% (1/8) | 50% (1/2) | Matheus Araujo |
| Everson | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Alex |
| Kaua Pascini | 10% (1/10) | 100% (1/1) | Wendel |
| Mamady Cisse | 17% (1/6) | 50% (1/2) | Juan |
| Vitor Hugo | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Tomas Cuello | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Lyanco | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Cassierra | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Matheus Araujo |
| Alan Minda | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Melk |
| Maycon Barberan | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Julio Cesar |
| Bernard | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Juan |
| Renan Lodi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Lima |
| Everson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex |
| Lyanco | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Wendel |
| Kaua Pascini | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eder |
| Vitor Hugo | ⚽1 | ||
| Tomas Cuello | ⚽1 | ||
| Mamady Cisse | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 0% |
1.5 | 40% | 0% |
2.5 | 30% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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