Ceara - Atletico MG: our prediction
14/05/2026•02:30
Ceara
2:1
(2:0)
Finished AP
2 tab 4
Atletico MG
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ceara vs Atletico MG Preview — Cup
Ceara hosts Atletico MG in the Cup. Atletico MG is the favorite with odds of 2.51. In the last 10 matches, Atletico MG has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Ceara has 4 wins and 6 losses at home. Both teams have defensive difficulties, but Atletico MG seems more solid offensively.
Our Ceara vs Atletico MG predictions
Under 3.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Ceara has seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of their games (7/10). Atletico MG is in the same situation with 70% (7/10). Both teams struggle to be prolific offensively, making this bet very likely.
1.17
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Ceara has drawn in 20% of their matches (2/10) and Atletico MG as well (2/10). Both teams have irregular form. Atletico MG has lost 5 of their last 10 matches, showing vulnerability. Ceara, while having 4 wins, also has 4 losses. A draw is a possible result given the relative balance.
2.9
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Both teams to score
Ceara has conceded goals in 70% of their matches (cleansheetno). Atletico MG has conceded goals in 100% of their matches (cleansheetno). Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, and Atletico MG has scored in 60% of their matches (parou05). A scenario where both score is plausible.
2
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Ceara vs Atletico MG
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ceara vs Atletico MG Statistics
Win
Win | 4 2 4 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Melk | 100% (2/2) | 33% (3/9) | Mateo Cassierra |
| Matheus Araujo | 50% (1/2) | 30% (3/10) | Alan Minda |
| Lucas Lima | 50% (1/2) | 22% (2/9) | Maycon Barberan |
| Alex | 50% (1/2) | 22% (2/9) | Bernard |
| Wendel | 100% (1/1) | 13% (1/8) | Renan Lodi |
| Juan | 50% (1/2) | 10% (1/10) | Everson |
| Eder | 50% (1/2) | 10% (1/10) | Kaua Pascini |
| Julio Cesar | 50% (1/2) | 13% (1/8) | Vitor Hugo |
14% (1/7) | Tomas Cuello | ||
13% (1/8) | Lyanco | ||
17% (1/6) | Mamady Cisse |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Araujo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Mateo Cassierra |
| Melk | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alan Minda |
| Juan | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Maycon Barberan |
| Lucas Lima | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Bernard |
| Alex | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Everson |
| Wendel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lyanco |
| Eder | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kaua Pascini |
| Julio Cesar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Vitor Hugo |
⚽1 | Tomas Cuello | ||
⚽1 | Mamady Cisse | ||
⚽1 | Renan Lodi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 90% |
1.5 | 10% | 40% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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