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AEL Limassol - Pafos FC: our prediction

08/04/2026•18:00

AEL Limassol

1:2

(1:2)

Finished

Pafos FC

AEL Limassol vs Pafos FC Preview — Cup

Pafos FC is the clear favorite (odds 1.74) for this Cup match against AEL Limassol at home. Recent statistics show Pafos as the more performing team (5 wins in 10) and more solid defensively (6 clean sheets) than AEL Limassol (3 wins in 10). AEL's matches are often high-scoring (60% Over 2.5 goals), while Pafos has a tighter defense.

Our AEL Limassol vs Pafos FC predictions

Pafos FC Win

Pafos FC is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.74) and shows superior form with 5 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to only 3 for AEL Limassol. Furthermore, Pafos has a more solid defense (6 clean sheets in 10) and a better success rate as a favorite. AEL Limassol, at home, has won only 2 of its last 10 away matches (statistic used for its outsider role here). No information on major absences was found to influence this prediction.

1.85

Confidence

High

AEL Limassol scores under 1.5 goals

The defensive analysis of Pafos FC is convincing: 6 clean sheets in 10 matches, and the opponent scored only one goal in 60% of their matches (6/10 for 'Under 1.5 goals per team' against Pafos). AEL Limassol scored over 1.5 goals in only 4 of its last 10 matches. The defensive solidity of Pafos, the favorite, should strongly limit AEL's opportunities. This bet is consistent with a Pafos win and a match under 2.5 goals. No information on major absences was found.

1.74

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Although AEL Limassol has a tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals (60% in 10 matches), Pafos FC presents a very solid defense (6 clean sheets, only 3 matches with 'Both Teams Score' in 10). In 5 of its last 10 matches, Pafos saw under 2.5 goals. As the away favorite, Pafos could control the match and limit opportunities. The prediction of a Pafos win aligns with a moderate scoreline. No information on major absences was found.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on AEL Limassol vs Pafos FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AEL Limassol vs Pafos FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AEL Limassol	Pafos FC
Win	3 2 5	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	33%
Win by being a favorite	25%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	0%
Win by being an outsider	33%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	30% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Zakaria Sawo	50% (4/8)	43% (3/7)	Jaja
Luther Singh	67% (2/3)	25% (2/8)	Nikolas Ioannou
Danil Paroutis	13% (1/8)	25% (2/8)	Lele
Sergio Conceicao	14% (1/7)	25% (2/8)	Vlad Dragomir
Andreas Panayiotou	13% (1/8)	29% (2/7)	Pepe
Ivan Milosavljevic	14% (1/7)	13% (1/8)	Wilmer Odefalk
Fernando Forestieri	13% (1/8)	20% (1/5)	Joao Correia
Andreas Makris	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Derrick Luckassen
		20% (1/5)	David Luiz

Total goals per player

	1	2
Zakaria Sawo	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Jaja
Luther Singh	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Pepe
Fernando Forestieri	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Vlad Dragomir
Danil Paroutis	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Nikolas Ioannou
Andreas Panayiotou	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Derrick Luckassen
Ivan Milosavljevic	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lele
Andreas Makris	⚽1	⚽1	David Luiz
Sergio Conceicao	⚽1	⚽1	Wilmer Odefalk
		⚽1	Joao Correia

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	50%	60%
Over corners 7.5	40%	50%
Over corners 8.5	40%	50%
Over corners 9.5	20%	40%
Over corners 10.5	0%	30%
Over corners 11.5	0%	30%
Over corners 12.5	0%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	60%
Over corners 3.5	40%	60%
Over corners 4.5	20%	40%
Over corners 5.5	10%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	60%	40%
2.5	60%	40%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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