Pafos FC - AEL Limassol: our prediction
22/04/2026•16:00
Pafos FC
3:1
(1:1)
Finished
AEL Limassol
-
1
-
X
-
2
Pafos FC vs AEL Limassol Preview — Cup
Pafos FC hosts AEL Limassol in the Cup. Bookmakers favor Pafos (odds 1.53). In their last 10 matches, Pafos has 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while AEL Limassol has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. The 'Both teams to score' statistic occurs in 50% of cases for Pafos and 60% for AEL. The scenario of a match with under 2.5 goals is more likely for Pafos (60%) than for AEL (30%).
Our Pafos FC vs AEL Limassol predictions
Pafos FC Win
Pafos FC is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.53). In the last 10 matches, Pafos has decent home form with 40% wins and, most importantly, does not lose when favored in 89% of cases (8/9). AEL Limassol has very weak away form with 60% losses in the last 10 matches and rarely wins as an outsider (1/5). Pafos' attack (Jaja, 4 goals in 8 matches) should make the difference against an AEL defense that often concedes (clean sheet only 20% of the time).
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Pafos played 60% of its matches with under 2.5 goals. AEL Limassol has a rate of 30% for this same indicator, but its away attack is not very prolific (scores in 80% of matches but often 1 goal). Furthermore, Pafos rarely scores more than 1.5 goals per match (only 30% parou15). The overall trend leans towards a tight match with a limited total of goals, probably 2-1 or 1-1.
2.1
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
The 'Both teams to score' statistic occurs in 50% of Pafos' last matches and 60% of AEL Limassol's. Pafos has a defense that keeps a clean sheet in 40% of cases, but AEL has attackers capable of scoring away (Luther Singh, 3 goals). Conversely, AEL often concedes (clean sheet only 20%) and Pafos, at home, scores in 80% of its matches (parou05). The scenario of a goal on each side is therefore plausible.
1.72
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Pafos FC vs AEL Limassol
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Pafos FC vs AEL Limassol Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaja | 43% (3/7) | 50% (4/8) | Zakaria Sawo |
| Lele | 25% (2/8) | 67% (2/3) | Luther Singh |
| Nikolas Ioannou | 25% (2/8) | 13% (1/8) | Andreas Makris |
| Vlad Dragomir | 25% (2/8) | 14% (1/7) | Sergio Conceicao |
| Pepe | 29% (2/7) | 13% (1/8) | Andreas Panayiotou |
| David Luiz | 20% (1/5) | 14% (1/7) | Ivan Milosavljevic |
| Wilmer Odefalk | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Fernando Forestieri |
| Derrick Luckassen | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Danil Paroutis |
| Joao Correia | 20% (1/5) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaja | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Zakaria Sawo |
| Pepe | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luther Singh |
| Vlad Dragomir | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Fernando Forestieri |
| Nikolas Ioannou | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Danil Paroutis |
| Derrick Luckassen | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Andreas Panayiotou |
| Lele | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ivan Milosavljevic |
| David Luiz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andreas Makris |
| Wilmer Odefalk | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sergio Conceicao |
| Joao Correia | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 60% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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