AEK Athens - Panathinaikos: our prediction
10/05/2026•18:30
AEK Athens
2:1
(0:0)
Finished
Panathinaikos
-
1
-
X
-
2
AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Preview — Super League Championship Group
AEK Athens, the home favorite, faces Panathinaikos in a top-of-the-table clash in the Greek Super League. AEK is in great form with a 60% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Panathinaikos struggles away from home. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match, with AEK being solid defensively.
Our AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos has shown offensive difficulties, especially away from home. In their last 10 matches, they have scored more than 1.5 goals only 4 times. Against a solid AEK Athens defense that kept a clean sheet 6 times in 10, it is likely that Panathinaikos will struggle to score more than one goal. This bet aligns with the previous two: an AEK victory with under 2.5 total goals implies Panathinaikos scores few.
6.38
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches for both teams. AEK Athens has seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 10 matches, and Panathinaikos in 5. Furthermore, AEK kept a clean sheet 6 times, while Panathinaikos failed to score in 5 of their last 10 matches. The match promises to be tight and tactical, with few chances. This bet is consistent with an AEK Athens victory.
1.91
Confidence
High (65 %)
AEK Athens Victory
AEK Athens is the favorite with odds of 1.5. In their last 10 matches, AEK has won 6 times (60%), including 5 as the favorite. At home, the team is particularly strong. On the other hand, Panathinaikos has shown weaknesses away from home, with only 1 win in their last 5 away matches. AEK's defensive solidity (6 clean sheets in 10 matches) is a major asset. No information on major injuries was found.
1.42
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Statistics
Win
Win | 6 2 2 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubakary Koita | 30% (3/10) | 22% (2/9) | Andrews Tetteh |
| Zini | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Vicente Taborda |
| Luka Jovic | 22% (2/9) | 13% (1/8) | Anass Zaroury |
| Barnabas Varga | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Adam Gnezda Cerin |
| Joao Mario | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Orbelin Pineda | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Razvan Marin | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubakary Koita | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Andrews Tetteh |
| Zini | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Vicente Taborda |
| Luka Jovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Anass Zaroury |
| Barnabas Varga | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adam Gnezda Cerin |
| Joao Mario | ⚽1 | ||
| Razvan Marin | ⚽1 | ||
| Orbelin Pineda | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 40% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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