Universitario de Vinto - Bolivar: our prediction
16/05/2026•21:00
Universitario de Vinto
3:2
(2:1)
Finished
Bolivar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar Preview — Primera Division
Universitario de Vinto hosts Bolivar in a Primera Division match. Bolivar, the favorite, shows better recent form with 4 wins in their last 10 matches, while Universitario has only 2. Both teams tend to score, but Bolivar has a stronger defense. Statistics suggest a match with under 3.5 total goals.
Our Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar predictions
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows that Universitario de Vinto has seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of its matches (under35 indicator at 7/10). Bolivar has an even higher rate of 90% (9/10). The trend is very strongly towards a low-scoring match. Bolivar, although favorite, has not been prolific in attack recently, and Universitario struggles to score (only 6/10 matches with over 0.5 team goals). The combination of these factors makes the 'Under 3.5 goals' bet very solid.
1.58
Confidence
High (65 %)
Bolivar to win
Bolivar is clearly the favorite. Its win indicator (victoir) is 4/10, compared to only 2/10 for Universitario. Furthermore, as a favorite (winfav), Bolivar wins 4 out of 9 times (44%), while Universitario only wins 1 out of 3 times as a favorite. Universitario has lost 7 of its last 10 matches (defaite at 7/10). Bolivar also has a better defensive record (4 clean sheets vs 1 for Universitario). Logic and statistics strongly favor a Bolivar victory.
1.95
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
The 'Both teams to score' (bts) indicator is at 5/10 for both teams over their last 10 matches. Bolivar has shown some defensive vulnerability (clean sheetno at 6/10) and an ability to score (parou05 at 8/10). Universitario, although weak offensively, has scored in 6 of its 10 matches (parou05 at 6/10). The match is balanced for this bet, with a 50% probability based on historical data. The attractive odds of 2.10 justify this medium confidence level.
1.44
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar Statistics
Win
Win | 2 1 7 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 44% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
75% (3/4) | Robson Matheus | ||
75% (3/4) | Leonel Justiniano | ||
50% (2/4) | Carlos Melgar | ||
50% (2/4) | Lucas Chavez | ||
25% (1/4) | Dorny Romero | ||
25% (1/4) | Escleizon Freita | ||
25% (1/4) | Martin Cauteruccio |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hernan Rodriguez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Leonel Justiniano |
| Felipe Mejia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Robson Matheus |
| Agustin Jara | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Chavez |
| Guilder Cuellar | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlos Melgar |
| Rodrigo Llano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Dorny Romero |
| Jair Torrico | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Escleizon Freita |
| Hugo Dorrego | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Martin Cauteruccio |
| Jose Valencia | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 30% |
1.5 | 0% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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