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Manchester City - Southampton: our prediction

25/04/2026•18:15

Manchester City

2:1

(0:0)

Finished

Southampton

Manchester City vs Southampton Preview — FA Cup

Manchester City, heavy favorite, hosts Southampton in the FA Cup. City dominates with 60% wins in their last 10 matches, while Southampton has a decent away record. Statistics suggest a game with goals.

Our Manchester City vs Southampton predictions

Manchester City to win

Manchester City is favored with odds of 1.2. In their last 10 matches, they have won 6 (60%), while Southampton has not lost any of their last 10 matches as an underdog but has a record of 8 wins in 10 matches. City's offensive power, led by Haaland (6 goals), is a key factor. Playing at home strengthens their favorite status.

1.24

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics show a high probability of over 2.5 goals. Manchester City has seen this scenario occur in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Southampton also in 70%. Both teams have a strong offensive tendency. City has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Southampton in 10 of their last 10. The match promises to be open.

1.43

Confidence

High (65 %)

Manchester City to score over 1.5 goals

Manchester City has scored over 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. With a world-class attack led by Haaland (6 goals) and other players like Semenyo (2 goals), they have the potential to exceed this threshold. Southampton, although solid, has shown defensive weaknesses, conceding goals in 70% of their matches. City's offensive tendency at home is an asset.

1.29

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Manchester City vs Southampton

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Manchester City vs Southampton Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Manchester City	Southampton
Win	6 2 2	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	50%
Win by being a favorite	56%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	100%
Win by being an outsider	100%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	30%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Erling Haaland	56% (5/9)	50% (5/10)	Cyle Larin
Jeremy Doku	40% (4/10)	40% (4/10)	Ross Stewart
Antoine Semenyo	33% (3/9)	22% (2/9)	Finn Azaz
Omar Marmoush	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Ryan Manning
Savinho	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Cameron Archer
Nico O'Reilly	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Rayan Cherki	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Kuryu Matsuki
Marc Guehi	11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)	Flynn Downes
Nico Gonzalez	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Shea Charles
		11% (1/9)	Leo Scienza

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jeremy Doku	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Cyle Larin
Erling Haaland	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Ross Stewart
Antoine Semenyo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Finn Azaz
Omar Marmoush	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Marc Guehi	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Cameron Archer
Nico Gonzalez	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ryan Manning
Nico O'Reilly	⚽1	⚽1	Kuryu Matsuki
Rayan Cherki	⚽1	⚽1	Shea Charles
Savinho	⚽1	⚽1	Leo Scienza
		⚽1	Flynn Downes

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	100%
Over corners 7.5	70%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	70%
Over corners 10.5	70%	40%
Over corners 11.5	60%	30%
Over corners 12.5	50%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	90%	90%
Over corners 4.5	80%	70%
Over corners 5.5	80%	50%
Over corners 6.5	70%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	60%	70%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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