Manchester City - Southampton: our prediction
25/04/2026•18:15
Manchester City
2:1
(0:0)
Finished
Southampton
-
1
-
X
-
2
Manchester City vs Southampton Preview — FA Cup
Manchester City, heavy favorite, hosts Southampton in the FA Cup. City dominates with 60% wins in their last 10 matches, while Southampton has a decent away record. Statistics suggest a game with goals.
Our Manchester City vs Southampton predictions
Manchester City to win
Manchester City is favored with odds of 1.2. In their last 10 matches, they have won 6 (60%), while Southampton has not lost any of their last 10 matches as an underdog but has a record of 8 wins in 10 matches. City's offensive power, led by Haaland (6 goals), is a key factor. Playing at home strengthens their favorite status.
1.24
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a high probability of over 2.5 goals. Manchester City has seen this scenario occur in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Southampton also in 70%. Both teams have a strong offensive tendency. City has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, and Southampton in 10 of their last 10. The match promises to be open.
1.43
Confidence
High (65 %)
Manchester City to score over 1.5 goals
Manchester City has scored over 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. With a world-class attack led by Haaland (6 goals) and other players like Semenyo (2 goals), they have the potential to exceed this threshold. Southampton, although solid, has shown defensive weaknesses, conceding goals in 70% of their matches. City's offensive tendency at home is an asset.
1.29
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Manchester City vs Southampton
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Manchester City vs Southampton Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 56% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 56% (5/9) | 50% (5/10) | Cyle Larin |
| Jeremy Doku | 40% (4/10) | 40% (4/10) | Ross Stewart |
| Antoine Semenyo | 33% (3/9) | 22% (2/9) | Finn Azaz |
| Omar Marmoush | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Ryan Manning |
| Savinho | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Cameron Archer |
| Nico O'Reilly | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Taylor Harwood-Bellis |
| Rayan Cherki | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Kuryu Matsuki |
| Marc Guehi | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Flynn Downes |
| Nico Gonzalez | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Shea Charles |
11% (1/9) | Leo Scienza |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Doku | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Cyle Larin |
| Erling Haaland | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ross Stewart |
| Antoine Semenyo | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Finn Azaz |
| Omar Marmoush | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Taylor Harwood-Bellis |
| Marc Guehi | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Cameron Archer |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ryan Manning |
| Nico O'Reilly | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kuryu Matsuki |
| Rayan Cherki | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Shea Charles |
| Savinho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leo Scienza |
⚽1 | Flynn Downes |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 70% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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