Club Atletico Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers: our prediction
18/04/2026•18:00
Club Atletico Progreso
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Montevideo Wanderers
-
1
-
X
-
2
Club Atletico Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura
Club Atletico Progreso hosts Montevideo Wanderers in the Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Progreso, a slight favorite with the bookmakers, is in very concerning form with only 1 win in their last 10 matches. Wanderers, while strong away from home, show greater consistency. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially low-scoring.
Our Club Atletico Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a strong trend towards low-scoring games. Progreso has seen 7 of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals (70%). Wanderers has a rate of 30%, but its away attack is not explosive. Both teams have recurring offensive difficulties (Progreso: 5 goals scored in 10 matches; Wanderers: 3 clean sheets conceded). Progreso's poor form and Wanderers' relative defensive solidity should limit the number of goals.
1.6
Confidence
High
Club Atletico Progreso - Under 1.5 goals
Progreso's attack is clearly failing. In its last 10 matches, the team has scored more than one goal on only 3 occasions (30% success rate for 'Parou 1.5'). It was even kept off the scoresheet 5 times. Facing a Wanderers defense that has kept 3 clean sheets over the same period, it is unlikely that Progreso will find the net multiple times. This statistic is one of the strongest in the dataset, with a strong negative correlation between Progreso's current form and its scoring ability.
1.4
Confidence
High
Draw
Progreso, at home, is in a results crisis (1W, 4D, 5L in 10 matches) and struggles to win even as a favorite (0 wins as a favorite in the last relevant match). Wanderers, on the other hand, is capable of bringing back points from its away games (3 wins as an outsider in 9 matches). Progreso's low offensive efficiency (only 1 clean sheet) and Wanderers' ability to resist away from home (does not lose in 44% of its matches as an outsider) argue for a share of the points. The odds reflect this uncertainty.
3
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Club Atletico Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Club Atletico Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 4 5 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 56% | 44% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 11% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 11% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Lopez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Facundo Labandeira |
| Matteo Copelotti | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jonas Luna |
| Hernan Carroso | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Joaquin Zeballos |
| Gary Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jose Alberti |
| Diego Sanchez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Rivero |
| Gaston Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gonzalo Freitas |
⚽1 | Esteban Crucci |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Deportivo Maldonado | 61%(11/18) |
| 2 |  | Racing | 56%(10/18) |
| 3 |  | Club Atletico Penarol | 56%(10/18) |
| 4 |  | Nacional | 50%(9/18) |
| 5 |  | Central Espanol | 50%(9/18) |
| 6 |  | Albion | 44%(8/18) |
| 7 |  | Montevideo City Torque | 44%(8/18) |
| 8 |  | Cerro Largo | 39%(7/18) |
| 9 | | Montevideo Wanderers | 37%(7/19) |
| 10 |  | Liverpool FC | 33%(6/18) |
| 11 |  | Boston River | 33%(6/18) |
| 12 |  | Defensor Sporting | 28%(5/18) |
| 13 |  | Juventud de las Piedras | 28%(5/18) |
| 14 |  | Danubio | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Cerro | 17%(3/18) |
| 16 | | Club Atletico Progreso | 17%(3/18) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Uruguay. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
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