Union - Independiente: our prediction
23/05/2026•01:00
Union
0:2
(0:2)
Finished
Independiente
-
1
-
X
-
2
Union vs Independiente Preview — Cup
Cup match between Union and Independiente. The two teams are close in the odds, with a slight advantage for Independiente. Statistics show a tendency for goals, especially for Independiente, who have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches.
Our Union vs Independiente predictions
Under 2.5 goals for Union
Union has scored under 2.5 goals in 100% of its last 10 matches (underparou25 indicator). This means Union never scores more than 2 goals per match. Combined with 'bts' (Union scores) and 'over15' (at least 2 total goals), this bet is consistent: Union will likely score 1 goal, and Union's total goals will be under 2.5.
2.7
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Over 1.5 goals
Union has seen over 1.5 goals in 100% of its last 10 matches (over15 indicator). Independiente has a rate of 90% over the same period. Combined with the high probability that both teams will score (bts), it is very likely that at least 2 goals will be scored. This bet is consistent with the 'bts'.
1.5
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Both teams to score
Independiente has seen both teams score in 80% of its last 10 matches (bts indicator). Union has a rate of 60% over the same period. Both teams have in-form attackers (Avalos for Independiente, Tarragona for Union). Defenses are weak, Union kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, Independiente 1 time. A draw is also a possibility, but 'bts' is more likely and consistent with the other bets.
2.08
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Market signals on Union vs Independiente
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Union vs Independiente Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 80% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Alberto Tarragona | 44% (4/9) | 44% (4/9) | Gabriel Avalos |
| Marcelo Estigarribia | 43% (3/7) | 38% (3/8) | Matias Abaldo |
| Lucas Menossi | 11% (1/9) | 33% (3/9) | Maximiliano Gutierrez |
| Julian Palacios | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Facundo Valdez |
| Brahian Cuello | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Lautaro Millan |
| Agustin Colazo | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Felipe Tempone |
25% (1/4) | Ignacio Pussetto | ||
14% (1/7) | Santiago Gabriel Montiel | ||
11% (1/9) | Luciano Cabral |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Alberto Tarragona | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gabriel Avalos |
| Marcelo Estigarribia | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Matias Abaldo |
| Agustin Colazo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Maximiliano Gutierrez |
| Brahian Cuello | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ignacio Pussetto |
| Lucas Menossi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Gabriel Montiel |
| Julian Palacios | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Felipe Tempone |
⚽1 | Facundo Valdez | ||
⚽1 | Luciano Cabral | ||
⚽1 | Lautaro Millan |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 90% | 80% |
2.5 | 60% | 40% |
3.5 | 40% | 0% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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