Velez Sarsfield - Gimnasia y Tiro: our prediction
01/05/2026•02:15
Velez Sarsfield
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Gimnasia y Tiro
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1
-
X
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2
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro Preview — Cup
Velez Sarsfield, heavy favorite (odds at 1.49), hosts Gimnasia y Tiro in the Cup. Velez has won 4 of their last 10 matches, while Gimnasia has only won 2. Statistics show a trend towards tight matches with under 2.5 goals for both teams.
Our Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Gimnasia y Tiro
Gimnasia y Tiro has a very weak attack. In their last 10 matches, they have scored a maximum of 1 goal in 8 of them ('underparou15' indicator at 80%). They have only scored more than 1 goal in 2 matches. Against a Velez side that has kept a clean sheet 5 times in 10, it is very likely that Gimnasia will not score or only score one goal.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Both teams show a strong tendency towards low-scoring matches. Velez Sarsfield has seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches ('under25' indicator at 70%). Gimnasia y Tiro is in the same situation with 7 out of 10 matches under 2.5 goals. Furthermore, Velez has only 2 matches with over 2.5 goals in 10, and Gimnasia 3. The trend is clearly towards a tight, low-scoring game.
1.65
Confidence
High
Velez Sarsfield Victory
Velez Sarsfield is the logical favorite with odds of 1.49. In their last 10 matches, they have 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. As a favorite, they only lose in 1 out of 7 cases ('nepredpasfav' indicator). Gimnasia y Tiro, on the other hand, has only 2 wins in 10 matches and has lost 4 times. Velez's form and squad quality, combined with the opponent's relative weakness, make this outcome very likely.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market signals on Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Tiro Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 29% | 20% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 67% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 67% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 20% | 10% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Monzon | 44% (4/9) | 100% (2/2) | Matias Birge |
| Dilan Godoy | 22% (2/9) | 100% (2/2) | Nicolas Rinaldi |
| Tobias Andrada | 13% (1/8) | 100% (1/1) | Lautaro Gordillo |
| Aaron Quiros | 11% (1/9) | 100% (1/1) | Leandro Contin |
| Diego Valdes | 11% (1/9) | 100% (1/1) | Manuel Guanini |
| Manuel Lanzini | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Lucas Robertone | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Roberto Garcia | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Monzon | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Nicolas Rinaldi |
| Tobias Andrada | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Matias Birge |
| Dilan Godoy | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Manuel Guanini |
| Manuel Lanzini | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lautaro Gordillo |
| Roberto Garcia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leandro Contin |
| Diego Valdes | ⚽1 | ||
| Lucas Robertone | ⚽1 | ||
| Aaron Quiros | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 0% |
1.5 | 70% | 0% |
2.5 | 50% | 0% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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