Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv: our prediction
16/05/2026•18:00
Arda Kardzhali
4:0
(3:0)
Finished
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
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1
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X
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2
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Preview — First Professional League ECL Group
Arda Kardzhali, the home favorite with odds of 1.6, faces Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Arda has won 4 of their last 10 matches, while Lokomotiv has won 5. Both teams show a tendency to score under 2.5 goals, with relatively solid defenses.
Our Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Combined with Lokomotiv Plovdiv's solid defense (5 clean sheets in 10 matches), it is likely that Arda will not exceed 1 goal. This prediction is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet and Arda's victory.
1.6
Confidence
High (65 %)
Arda Kardzhali to win
Arda Kardzhali is the favorite with odds of 1.6 and plays at home. Although Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a better win record (5 vs 4), Arda has shown better recent form as a favorite, not losing in 4 of their last 6 matches as a favorite. Analysis of Arda's home performances strengthens this prediction.
1.19
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals
Arda Kardzhali has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 8 of their last 10. Both teams have relatively solid defenses, and the odds favor a low-scoring match. Analysis of offensive performances shows a low average of goals scored per match for both teams.
2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Statistics
Win
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Calal Huseynov | 25% (2/8) | 67% (4/6) | Joel Zwarts |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 13% (1/8) | 33% (2/6) | Sevi Idriz |
| Birsent Karagaren | 13% (1/8) | 33% (2/6) | Andrei Chindris |
| Serkan Yusein | 13% (1/8) | 40% (2/5) | Catalin Itu |
| Lachezar Kotev | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Georgi Chorbadzhiyski |
| Antonio Vutov | 14% (1/7) | 17% (1/6) | Lucas Ryan |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Vutov | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Joel Zwarts |
| Calal Huseynov | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Ryan |
| Birsent Karagaren | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Catalin Itu |
| Dimitar Velkovski | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Sevi Idriz |
| Lachezar Kotev | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Andrei Chindris |
| Serkan Yusein | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Georgi Chorbadzhiyski |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 70% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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