Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya: our prediction

Although Celaya tends to exceed 2.5 goals, it is less frequent for their matches to exceed 3.5 goals (only 50% of the time). For Cimarrones, 80% of their matches remain under 3.5 goals. Combined with the fact that both teams score but without the match becoming a true offensive showcase, the total goals should be between 2 and 3 goals, which makes the 'Under 3.5 goals' bet consistent and non-contradictory with the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet.

Celaya's matches tend to be high-scoring, with 70% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Combined with the tendency of both teams to score (BTS at 60% for both), the scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals is very likely. Cimarrones, although less prone to this total (40%), plays at home and is the favorite, which should encourage them to attack, opening up the game.

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals. Cimarrones has seen both teams score in 60% of its matches, and Celaya also in 60%. Furthermore, Celaya has a porous defense (80% of matches without a clean sheet), which increases the chances of Cimarrones scoring. At home, Cimarrones is the favorite and should push for a goal, but its defense is not infallible (60% of matches without a clean sheet), leaving opportunities for Celaya.