Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya: our prediction
26/04/2026•04:00
Cimarrones de Sonora
2:1
(0:0)
Finished AP
5 tab 6
Celaya
-
1
-
X
-
2
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya Preview — Liga Premier - Serie A Reserves Final Stage
Cimarrones de Sonora, favorite at home, faces Celaya in a Liga Premier - Serie A Reserves Final Stage match. Statistics show that Cimarrones tends to score and concede, while Celaya has a high propensity for both teams to score and matches with over 2.5 goals.
Our Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya predictions
Under 3.5 goals
Although Celaya tends to exceed 2.5 goals, it is less frequent for their matches to exceed 3.5 goals (only 50% of the time). For Cimarrones, 80% of their matches remain under 3.5 goals. Combined with the fact that both teams score but without the match becoming a true offensive showcase, the total goals should be between 2 and 3 goals, which makes the 'Under 3.5 goals' bet consistent and non-contradictory with the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet.
1.3
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Celaya's matches tend to be high-scoring, with 70% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Combined with the tendency of both teams to score (BTS at 60% for both), the scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals is very likely. Cimarrones, although less prone to this total (40%), plays at home and is the favorite, which should encourage them to attack, opening up the game.
1.85
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals. Cimarrones has seen both teams score in 60% of its matches, and Celaya also in 60%. Furthermore, Celaya has a porous defense (80% of matches without a clean sheet), which increases the chances of Cimarrones scoring. At home, Cimarrones is the favorite and should push for a goal, but its defense is not infallible (60% of matches without a clean sheet), leaving opportunities for Celaya.
1.7
Confidence
High
Market signals on Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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