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Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar FC: our prediction

10/05/2026•04:30

Wellington Phoenix

2:0

(1:0)

Finished AET

ap. 1 - 0

Brisbane Roar FC

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar FC Preview — A-League Women Playoff

Wellington Phoenix face Brisbane Roar FC in the A-League Women Playoff semifinal. Wellington is the favorite (odds 1.8) but Brisbane has shown better recent form with 6 wins in 10 matches. Both teams have a strong tendency to score (60% BTS) and the total goals often exceed 2.5 (60% for Wellington, 90% for Brisbane).

Our Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar FC predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Brisbane Roar FC has seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), while Wellington Phoenix has reached this threshold in 60% of their matches. Both teams have a strong scoring propensity, with a BTS of 60% each. Brisbane, away from home, has shown significant offensive capability (7 goals in their last 3 away matches). The odds of 1.8 are attractive for this highly likely scenario.

1.54

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Brisbane Roar FC to win

Brisbane Roar FC has won 6 of their last 10 matches (60% wins), while Wellington Phoenix has only won 5 (50%). Brisbane has also won 2 of their last 4 matches as an outsider (high odds), showing an ability to overperform. Wellington, although favorite, has lost 4 of their last 10 matches and has shown defensive vulnerabilities (cleansheetno at 60%). The odds of 3.7 are very attractive for an in-form team like Brisbane.

3.48

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Both teams have a BTS rate of 60% over their last 10 matches. Wellington Phoenix has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (parou05 at 90%), while Brisbane Roar FC has scored in 7 of their last 10 matches. However, Brisbane has also conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (cleansheetno at 90%). The odds of 3.6 are high, but the probability remains good. Wellington, at home, should score, and Brisbane, in form, should respond.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Wellington Phoenix	Brisbane Roar FC
Win	5 1 4	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	75%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	80%
Win by being a favorite	50%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	50%
Win by being an outsider	0%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 60%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	60% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	40%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Makala Woods	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Kijah Stephenson
Brooke Nunn	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Daisy Brown
Marisa van der Meer	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Aimee Medwin
Emma Pijnenburg	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Momo Hayashi
Macey Fraser	⚽1	⚽1	Alicia Woods
Grace Jale	⚽1	⚽1	Bente Jansen
Manaia Elliott	⚽1	⚽1	Tameka Yallop
Mackenzie Anthony	⚽1
Pia Vlok	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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